8-K ·Filed Apr 8, 2026

MOS

MOSAIC CO
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001285785-26-000058
8-K material event: Items 2.06
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Traders should anticipate a significant earnings charge in Q1 2026 and reduced phosphate output going forward. While cost savings are expected long-term, the immediate impact is negative. Monitor progress on the asset sale and Niobium development at Patrocnio for future upside.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
MOS ▼ -20.62% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +20.62% · α vs SPY +31.08% · entry $26.62 → $21.13
Entry anchored
Apr 8, 11:04 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-5.07%
call +5.07% · α +5.65%
$25.27
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-10.86%
call +10.86% · α +14.37%
$23.73
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-12.62%
call +12.62% · α +21.17%
$23.26
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-20.62%
call +20.62% · α +31.08%
$21.13
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The Mosaic Company announced it will idle its Arax and Patrocnio mining facilities in Brazil, resulting in a pre-tax impairment charge of $350–$400 million, primarily for asset write-offs and closure costs. This move is part of a cost-reduction and capital redeployment strategy.

Key Facts

  • Mosaic is idling the Arax Mining and Chemical Complex and related mining activities at the Patrocnio Complex in Brazil
  • The company expects a pre-tax book impact of $350 to $400 million in Q1 2026
  • Of that, $275 to $300 million is for impairment on assets held for sale and other asset write-offs
  • The remainder covers severance, contract termination, and other idling costs
  • Annual phosphate production will be reduced by approximately 1 million tonnes
  • Mosaic plans to pursue a sale of Arax assets while continuing development of the Niobium opportunity at Patrocnio

Financial Impact

Pre-tax impairment of $350–$400 million, with $275–$300 million in asset impairments and write-offs

impairment chargesoperating incomephosphate productioncapital expendituresoperating expenses

Risk Factors

  • Execution risk in the asset sale process
  • Potential for additional charges if closure costs exceed estimates
  • Reduced production volume could pressure revenue if fertilizer prices decline

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Agricultural Chemicals

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001285785-26-000058
Document: pressrelease-exhibit991.htm0001285785-26-000058
Document: 0001285785-26-000058-index-headers.html0001285785-26-000058
Document: 0001285785-26-000058-index.html0001285785-26-000058
Document: 0001285785-26-000058.txt0001285785-26-000058
7 reports for MOS
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 5 of 5 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +19.92%Aug 17, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MOS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$21.23 $25.46▲ +19.92%▲ +21.90%$21.08 (−0.71%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$23.47 $26.53▲ +13.04%▲ +13.95%$21.08 (−10.18%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$23.47 $26.53▲ +13.04%▲ +13.95%$21.08 (−10.18%)
Jun 12, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$22.69 $21.51▼ −5.20%▼ −6.98%$21.08 (−7.10%)
May 11, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$21.79 $21.28▲ +2.34%▲ +2.04%$21.08 (+3.26%)
Apr 8, 2026
25w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$26.62 $23.26▲ +12.62%▲ +21.17%$21.08 (+20.81%)
Feb 24, 2026
31w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$26.75 $26.19▲ +2.11%▼ −3.13%$21.08 (+21.21%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 28m)

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