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Institutional Cluster

MNR

MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 1 buyers, 4 sellers (bearish)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The coordinated exit by three mega-passive funds (UBS, Morgan Stanley, BofA) and one active asset manager suggests a negative thesis shift—possibly sector rotation out of energy, or company-specific concerns. Traders should watch for further institutional selling and any forthcoming earnings or operational updates that may clarify the catalyst. The absence of any significant buying interest amplifies the bearish signal.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
MNR ▼ -4.05% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +4.05% · α vs SPY +8.44% · entry $13.10 → $12.57
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.22%
call -1.22% · α -0.68%
$13.26
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-4.81%
call +4.81% · α +5.24%
$12.47
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-1.53%
call +1.53% · α +3.42%
$12.90
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-4.05%
call +4.05% · α +8.44%
$12.57
settled 7w ago

Executive Summary

A bearish institutional cluster has formed in Mach Natural Resources (MNR) during Q3 2025, with four major institutions (UBS, Morgan Stanley, BofA, Bank of Montreal) reducing holdings by a combined ~$20.3M while only Wells Fargo added a small $24K position. The near-exit of UBS (-99.8%) and significant trims from Morgan Stanley (-36.1%) and BofA (-86.2%) signal a broad loss of institutional confidence.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$125.0K
Sell Value
$34.8M
Net Flow
-$20.3M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$20.3M

▲ Buyers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Wells FargoADD+35.7%$125.0K$24.0K

▼ Sellers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Bank Of Montreal /CanTRIM-30.8%$4.7M-$1.7M
UBSNEAR_EXIT-99.8%$7.1M-$7.1M
Morgan StanleyTRIM-36.1%$18.8M-$7.8M
BofANEAR_EXIT-86.2%$4.2M-$3.6M

Key Facts

  • Four institutional sellers vs. one buyer in Q3 2025 cluster
  • UBS executed a near-total exit, reducing 492.9K to 1.0K shares (-99.8%)
  • Morgan Stanley trimmed 470K shares (-36.1%), BofA cut 248K shares (-86.2%)
  • Bank of Montreal reduced by 100K shares (-30.8%)
  • Net aggregate institutional selling of approximately $20.3M
  • Only buyer was Wells Fargo, increasing a passive position by 2.5K shares (+35.7%)

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of approximately $20.3M, representing ~0.9% of MNR's $2.2B market cap, with four institutions reducing by a total of roughly $34.8M in prior-quarter value.

institutional ownershipfloatmarket sentiment

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is stale (45-day lag); positions may have been partially reversed since quarter-end
  • Passive fund reductions could be mechanical (index rebalancing, not active conviction)
  • MNR's energy sector is subject to volatile commodity prices which could shift sentiment quickly

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Analyst Consensus
77% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-MNR-2025-Q3
8 reports for MNR
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +9.49%May 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MNR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$11.13awaiting T+60——
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.10 $12.57▲ +4.05%▲ +8.44%—
May 22, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$13.70 $12.63▲ +7.81%▲ +10.53%—
May 22, 2026
22w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.70 $12.63▲ +7.81%▲ +10.53%—
May 7, 2026
24w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$13.75 $13.36▼ −2.84%▼ −7.68%—
Apr 8, 2026
28w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$12.35 $12.56▲ +1.70%▼ −9.08%—
Apr 8, 2026
28w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$12.70 $12.60▲ +0.79%▲ +11.24%—
Mar 19, 2026
31w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$14.02 $13.26▼ −5.42%▼ −19.76%—
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

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Report published Jun 11, 2026