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8-K ·Filed May 7, 2026

MNR

MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001213900-26-053364
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The GAAP net loss is entirely driven by non-cash derivative mark-to-market losses, while operating cash flow and Adjusted EBITDA remain strong. The 21% distribution increase signals management confidence in cash generation. Watch the Q1 2026 earnings call for commentary on the capital reallocation from Deep Anadarko to oil-weighted projects and the Mancos Shale well results.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
MNR ▼ -2.84% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -2.84% · α vs SPY -7.68% · entry $13.75 → $13.36
Entry = T+0 close
May 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.11%
call +2.11% · α +1.88%
$14.04
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+4.15%
call +4.15% · α +2.68%
$14.32
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-2.18%
call -2.18% · α -2.21%
$13.45
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-2.84%
call -2.84% · α -7.68%
$13.36
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Mach Natural Resources LP reported Q1 2026 results with total revenue of $286M and a GAAP net loss of $35M, compared to net income of $15.9M in Q1 2025. The company declared a quarterly distribution of $0.64 per unit, up from $0.53 in Q4 2025, and generated Adjusted EBITDA of $195M, a 22% increase YoY. The GAAP net loss was driven by a $103.8M unrealized loss on derivatives, masking strong operational cash flow of $170M.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$286.0M

Key Facts

  • Total revenue of $286M in Q1 2026 vs $388M in Q4 2025 (sequential decline, no YoY comparison provided in filing)
  • GAAP net loss of $35M vs net income of $15.9M in Q1 2025, driven by $103.8M unrealized derivative loss
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $195M, up 22% from $160M in Q1 2025
  • Declared quarterly distribution of $0.64 per common unit, up 21% from $0.53 in Q4 2025
  • Average production of 158 Mboe/d, up from 154 Mboe/d in Q4 2025
  • Net cash provided by operating activities of $170M
  • Reinvestment rate of 41% on $75M development costs
  • Cash balance of $53M and $695M drawn on $1.0B credit facility as of March 31, 2026

Financial Impact

GAAP net loss of $35M vs consensus EPS miss of -7.5% (EPS $0.43 vs $0.47 est for Q4 2025 period); Q1 2026 GAAP net loss of $35M vs prior year net income of $15.9M

revenuenet incomeadjusted EBITDAdistributionproduction

Risk Factors

  • Commodity price volatility could further impact derivative valuations and GAAP earnings
  • Shift in drilling program from gas to oil may not deliver expected returns
  • High leverage with $695M drawn on $1.0B credit facility
  • Unrealized derivative losses of $103.8M could reverse or worsen depending on price movements

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Analyst Consensus
77% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-053364
Document: ea0289730-8k_mach.htm0001213900-26-053364
Document: 0001213900-26-053364-index-headers.html0001213900-26-053364
Document: 0001213900-26-053364-index.html0001213900-26-053364
Document: 0001213900-26-053364.txt0001213900-26-053364
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001213900-26-053364
8 reports for MNR
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +9.49%May 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MNR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$11.13awaiting T+60—$10.70 (−3.86%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.10 $12.57▲ +4.05%▲ +8.44%$10.70 (+18.32%)
May 22, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$13.70 $12.63▲ +7.81%▲ +10.53%$10.70 (+21.90%)
May 22, 2026
22w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.70 $12.63▲ +7.81%▲ +10.53%$10.70 (+21.90%)
May 7, 2026
24w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$13.75 $13.36▼ −2.84%▼ −7.68%$10.70 (−22.18%)
Apr 8, 2026
28w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$12.35 $12.56▲ +1.70%▼ −9.08%$10.70 (−13.36%)
Apr 8, 2026
28w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$12.70 $12.60▲ +0.79%▲ +11.24%$10.70 (+15.75%)
Mar 19, 2026
31w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$14.02 $13.26▼ −5.42%▼ −19.76%$10.70 (−23.68%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

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Report published May 7, 2026