8-K ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

MKTX

MARKETAXESS HOLDINGS INC
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-324933
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

MKTX shares will likely trade near the $167 cash offer price discounted for deal risk and time to close. Monitor regulatory developments including HSR review and MKTX stockholder vote. The $148.8M reverse termination fee provides some downside protection if the deal fails for antitrust reasons.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
MKTX ▼ -0.18% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -0.18% · α vs SPY -4.15% · entry $162.76 → $162.46
Next anchor: T+60d in 21d
Latest observation: T+42 +13.40% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 29, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.28%
call -0.28% · α -0.99%
$162.30
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-0.09%
call -0.09% · α -3.71%
$162.62
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-0.18%
call -0.18% · α -4.15%
$162.46
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 21d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX) entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) for $167.00 per share in cash, representing a 33% premium to the July 29, 2026 closing price. The all-cash transaction values MKTX at approximately $6.0 billion equity / $5.7 billion enterprise value and is expected to close in the first half of 2027, subject to stockholder and regulatory approvals. Concurrently, the company amended severance agreements for its CEO, CFO, and General Counsel to adjust change-in-control protections.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$5.7B
Premium
33%
Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • ICE to acquire MKTX for $167.00 per share in cash, a 33% premium to the July 29, 2026 closing price.
  • Total enterprise value of approximately $5.7 billion; equity value of approximately $6.0 billion.
  • MKTX board unanimously approved the merger and recommends stockholders vote in favor.
  • Expected to close in the first half of 2027, subject to MKTX stockholder approval, HSR clearance, and other regulatory conditions.
  • ICE expects $100 million in annual run-rate expense synergies fully realized within three years post-close.
  • CEO Severance Amendment and amendments to CFO and GC Severance Protection Agreements executed in connection with the change of control.
  • Company termination fee of $148.8 million payable to ICE under certain conditions; parent regulatory termination fee of $327.4 million payable to MKTX under certain antitrust-related termination scenarios.

Financial Impact

MKTX stockholders to receive $167.00 per share in cash, a 33% premium. Total enterprise value ~$5.7B. Transaction accretive to ICE adjusted EPS in first full year.

share priceenterprise valueequity valueEPS (acquirer)

Risk Factors

  • Antitrust clearance under HSR Act and other competition laws may delay or prevent closing.
  • Failure to obtain MKTX stockholder approval could terminate the deal.
  • Material adverse change clause could allow ICE to walk away or renegotiate.
  • Litigation from MKTX stockholders challenging the merger could cause delays.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
Analyst Consensus
45% bullish (20 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 9 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-324933
Document: d159148d8k.htm0001193125-26-324933
Document: d159148dex991.htm0001193125-26-324933
Document: d159148dex101.htm0001193125-26-324933
Document: d159148dex102.htm0001193125-26-324933
Document: d159148dex103.htm0001193125-26-324933
Document: 0001193125-26-324933-index-headers.html0001193125-26-324933
Document: 0001193125-26-324933-index.html0001193125-26-324933
Document: 0001193125-26-324933.txt0001193125-26-324933
6 reports for MKTX
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate 1 of 3 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +0.04%Sep 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MKTX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 11, 2026
21d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$163.00 $163.42▲ +0.26%▲ +0.48%$164.14 (+0.70%)
Sep 4, 2026
28d ago
PREM14A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$163.32 $163.38▲ +0.04%▲ +1.16%$164.14 (+0.50%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$162.76 $162.62▼ −0.09%▼ −3.71%$164.14 (+0.85%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$162.76 $162.62▼ −0.09%▼ −3.71%$164.14 (+0.85%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$162.76 $162.62▼ −0.09%▼ −3.71%$164.14 (+0.85%)
Jun 12, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$120.89 $120.33▼ −0.46%▼ −1.14%$164.14 (+35.78%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 2m)

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