8-K ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

MKTX

MARKETAXESS HOLDINGS INC
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-324950
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The acquisition by ICE is the dominant catalyst. Traders should monitor the merger proxy filing and regulatory approvals. The earnings beat is secondary; the stock will trade on the acquisition premium and deal completion risk. Given the definitive agreement, spread trading may be viable.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
MKTX ▼ -0.18% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -0.18% · α vs SPY -4.15% · entry $162.76 → $162.46
Next anchor: T+60d in 21d
Latest observation: T+42 +13.40% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 29, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.28%
call -0.28% · α -0.99%
$162.30
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-0.09%
call -0.09% · α -3.71%
$162.62
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-0.18%
call -0.18% · α -4.15%
$162.46
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 21d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

MarketAxess reported Q2 2026 revenue of $218.4M (flat YoY) and adjusted EPS of $1.95, beating consensus of $1.88. However, the headline event is the definitive agreement for ICE to acquire MarketAxess, announced alongside the earnings. The company also withdrew its 2026 guidance and suspended its conference call and monthly volume releases due to the pending transaction.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.95
est $1.88 · +3.7%
Revenue
$218.4M
est $216.7M · +0.8% · -0.5% YoY
Rating
beat
Free Cash Flow
$88.9M

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 total revenue $218.4M, flat YoY vs $219.5M
  • Adjusted EPS $1.95 (excluding notable items), beat consensus of $1.88 by 3.7%
  • GAAP EPS $1.93, net income $68.3M
  • Total commission revenue declined 3% YoY to $186.9M, driven by a 9% drop in U.S. credit
  • Record services revenue of $31.5M, up 14% YoY
  • Operating margin (GAAP) 41.1%, down 80bps YoY
  • Board declared quarterly dividend of $0.78/share
  • ICE announced definitive agreement to acquire MarketAxess (price not disclosed in this filing)
  • Company withdrew 2026 annual guidance and suspended earnings conference call and monthly volume releases

Financial Impact

Acquisition by ICE at an undisclosed premium; Q2 revenue flat but adjusted EPS beat by 3.7%

revenueepsguidance

Risk Factors

  • Deal may not close due to regulatory or shareholder approval issues
  • Termination fee or conditions could cause deal to fail
  • Stock may decline if deal is challenged or delayed
  • No standalone guidance means near-term operational visibility is lost

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
Analyst Consensus
45% bullish (20 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-324950
Document: d121662d8k.htm0001193125-26-324950
Document: 0001193125-26-324950-index-headers.html0001193125-26-324950
Document: 0001193125-26-324950-index.html0001193125-26-324950
Document: 0001193125-26-324950.txt0001193125-26-324950
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-324950
6 reports for MKTX
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate 1 of 3 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +0.04%Sep 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MKTX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 11, 2026
21d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$163.00 $163.42▲ +0.26%▲ +0.48%$164.14 (+0.70%)
Sep 4, 2026
28d ago
PREM14A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$163.32 $163.38▲ +0.04%▲ +1.16%$164.14 (+0.50%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$162.76 $162.62▼ −0.09%▼ −3.71%$164.14 (+0.85%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$162.76 $162.62▼ −0.09%▼ −3.71%$164.14 (+0.85%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$162.76 $162.62▼ −0.09%▼ −3.71%$164.14 (+0.85%)
Jun 12, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$120.89 $120.33▼ −0.46%▼ −1.14%$164.14 (+35.78%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 2m)

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