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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Oct 21, 2026

MHO

M/I Homes, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed6d 23h ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The 22.5% EPS miss and 5% revenue decline confirm deteriorating demand in a high-rate environment. Watch for further guidance commentary on the Q4 call and whether the $50M buyback accelerates to support the stock. The backlog decline of 9% in value suggests near-term revenue pressure.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled: T+1d ⚠ clustered
MHO ▲ +8.12% at T+1d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -8.12% · α vs SPY -9.30% · entry $114.04 → $123.30
Next anchor: T+5d in 1h
Latest observation: T+2 -6.01% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+8.12%
call -8.12% · α -9.30%
$123.30
settled 6d ago
T+5d
Pending
in 1h
T+20d
Pending
in 21d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

M/I Homes reported Q3 2026 EPS of $2.56, a 22.5% miss vs consensus of $3.30, and revenue of $1.08B vs $1.11B consensus. Net income fell 38% YoY to $67M, with pre-tax income down 38% on a 5% revenue decline, higher mortgage rates, and weakening demand. The company maintained a strong balance sheet with record equity of $3.3B and no borrowings on its $900M credit facility, but the earnings miss and deteriorating fundamentals are the dominant signals.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$2.56
est $3.30 · -22.4%
Revenue
$1.1B
est $1.1B · -3.1% · -5.0% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Gross Margin
20.9%

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 EPS $2.56 vs consensus $3.30 (22.5% miss)
  • Q3 2026 revenue $1.076B vs consensus $1.11B (3.1% miss)
  • Net income $66.6M, down 38% YoY from $106.5M
  • Pre-tax income $86.9M, down 38% YoY from $139.8M
  • Homes delivered down 2% YoY to 2,241; new contracts down 2% to 1,861
  • Gross margin 20.9% vs 23.9% a year ago; 21.3% excluding inventory charges
  • Backlog sales value $1.1B, down 9% YoY; backlog units down 7%
  • Repurchased $50M of common stock during the quarter
  • Homebuilding debt-to-capital ratio unchanged at 18%
  • Cash and equivalents $621M; no borrowings on $900M credit facility

Financial Impact

EPS miss of $0.74 (22.5%) and revenue miss of ~$34M (3.1%); net income decline of $40M (38% YoY)

epsrevenuenet incomegross marginpre-tax incomebacklog value

Risk Factors

  • Higher mortgage rates and economic uncertainty continue to pressure homebuyer demand
  • Inventory charges of $4.7M in Q3 may signal further land or home impairments
  • Backlog units down 7% and average sales price down 2.5% indicate pricing power erosion
  • Operating income margin compressed to 7.7% from 12.0% a year ago

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-prn-302914531
6 reports for MHO
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for MHO, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$114.04 $123.30▼ −8.12%▼ −9.30%$126.17 (−10.64%)
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$114.04 $123.30▼ −8.12%▼ −9.30%$126.17 (−10.64%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$139.10awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$126.17 (−9.30%)
Jul 29, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$154.48 $151.33▲ +2.04%▲ +3.72%$126.17 (+18.33%)
Apr 22, 2026
26w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$133.64 $134.67▲ +0.77%▲ +1.16%$126.17 (−5.59%)
Mar 4, 2026
33w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$138.37 $135.62▼ −1.99%▼ −0.67%$126.17 (−8.82%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed · Opens in 2h 55m

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Report published Oct 21, 2026