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8-K ·Filed Oct 21, 2026

MHO

M/I HOMES, INC.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed6d 23h ago SEC0000799292-26-000030
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The continued decline in revenue, earnings, and backlog, combined with management's acknowledgment of 'increasingly difficult market conditions,' suggests further downside risk. Monitor the Q4 2026 earnings for any guidance revision or further deterioration in new contracts and backlog.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled: T+1d ⚠ clustered
MHO ▲ +8.12% at T+1d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -8.12% · α vs SPY -9.30% · entry $114.04 → $123.30
Next anchor: T+5d in 1h
Latest observation: T+2 -6.01% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+8.12%
call -8.12% · α -9.30%
$123.30
settled 6d ago
T+5d
Pending
in 1h
T+20d
Pending
in 21d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

M/I Homes reported Q3 2026 GAAP diluted EPS of $2.56, well below the consensus estimate of $3.30, and total revenue of $1.076 billion, slightly below the $1.11 billion consensus. Revenue declined 5% YoY, net income fell 38%, and pre-tax income dropped 38%, reflecting higher mortgage rates, weaker demand, and economic uncertainty. The company maintained a strong balance sheet with record equity of $3.3 billion and no borrowings on its $900 million credit facility.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$2.56
est $3.30 · -22.4%
Revenue
$1.1B
est $1.1B · -3.1% · -4.9% YoY
Rating
miss
Gross Margin
20.9%

Key Facts

  • GAAP diluted EPS of $2.56 vs consensus $3.30 (miss of ~22.4%)
  • Total revenue of $1.076 billion vs consensus $1.11 billion
  • Revenue declined 5% YoY from $1.132 billion
  • Net income fell 38% to $66.6 million from $106.5 million
  • Pre-tax income down 38% to $86.9 million from $139.8 million
  • New contracts decreased 2% to 1,861; homes delivered down 2% to 2,241
  • Backlog sales value down 9% to $1.1 billion; backlog units down 7% to 2,046
  • Gross margin contracted to 20.9% from 23.9% in Q3 2025
  • Adjusted diluted EPS (ex-inventory charges) was $2.70 vs $4.14 a year ago
  • Repurchased $50 million of common stock during the quarter
  • Shareholders' equity reached a record $3.3 billion; book value per share $129.94
  • Homebuilding debt-to-capital ratio unchanged at 18%

Financial Impact

EPS miss of ~22% vs consensus; revenue miss of ~3%; net income decline of 38% YoY

epsrevenuenet incomegross marginpre-tax income

Segment Breakdown

Segment
Northern
Southern

Risk Factors

  • Higher mortgage interest rates and economic uncertainty pressuring housing demand
  • Backlog sales value and units declining, signaling lower future revenue
  • Gross margin compression from 23.9% to 20.9%
  • Inventory charges of $4.7 million in the quarter

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000799292-26-000030
Document: mho-20261021.htm0000799292-26-000030
Document: 0000799292-26-000030-index-headers.html0000799292-26-000030
Document: 0000799292-26-000030-index.html0000799292-26-000030
Document: 0000799292-26-000030.txt0000799292-26-000030
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000799292-26-000030
6 reports for MHO
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for MHO, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$114.04 $123.30▼ −8.12%▼ −9.30%$126.17 (−10.64%)
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$114.04 $123.30▼ −8.12%▼ −9.30%$126.17 (−10.64%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$139.10awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$126.17 (−9.30%)
Jul 29, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$154.48 $151.33▲ +2.04%▲ +3.72%$126.17 (+18.33%)
Apr 22, 2026
26w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$133.64 $134.67▲ +0.77%▲ +1.16%$126.17 (−5.59%)
Mar 4, 2026
33w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$138.37 $135.62▼ −1.99%▼ −0.67%$126.17 (−8.82%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed · Opens in 2h 55m

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Report published Oct 21, 2026