PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Jul 10, 2026

MESO

Mesoblast Limited
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The large EPS miss on a minimal base is a mechanical artifact and not a reflection of business deterioration — the key driver is commercial execution on Ryoncil. Watch for continued revenue growth updates from major U.S. pediatric centers. The cross-filing activist context amplifies pressure, making any positive revenue updates more impactful.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
MESO ▲ +3.24% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +3.24% · α vs SPY +0.81% · entry $15.44 → $15.94
Next anchor: T+60d due 7h ago
Latest observation: T+58 +4.74% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 9, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+5.05%
call +5.05% · α +5.82%
$16.22
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+15.67%
call +15.67% · α +16.23%
$17.86
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+3.24%
call +3.24% · α +0.81%
$15.94
settled 8w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
due 7h ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Mesoblast reported Q1 FY2026 EPS of -$0.07, missing consensus of -$0.03 by 133%. However, the company announced full-year Ryoncil net revenue of $115M, exceeding initial projections, with continued growth expected. The EPS miss is on a tiny base and the Ryoncil revenue narrative is the dominant driver, making the overall tone mixed.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-0.07
est $-0.03 · -133.3%
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • FY2026 Q1 EPS: -$0.07, -133% miss vs consensus -$0.03.
  • Ryoncil net revenue of US$36M for Q1 FY2026 and US$115M for full year ended June 30, 2026.
  • CEO stated revenue exceeded initial projections and anticipates continued growth.

Financial Impact

Revenue of $115M for FY2026, exceeding projections; EPS of -$0.07 vs -$0.03 estimate.

revenueeps

Risk Factors

  • Ryoncil revenue growth may not sustain the initial launch momentum.
  • Reliance on a single product for near-term revenue.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
90% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3325284
16 reports for MESO
Performance horizon
77% Hit rate 10 of 13 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +24.95%Jul 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MESO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
20-F
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$18.18 $15.48▼ −14.85%▼ −14.34%$14.07 (−22.58%)
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$18.18 $15.48▼ −14.85%▼ −14.34%$14.07 (−22.58%)
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$16.64 $15.92▼ −4.33%▼ −5.64%$14.07 (−15.41%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$17.02 $14.74▼ −13.40%▼ −11.42%$14.07 (−17.30%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$14.55 $18.18▲ +24.95%▲ +20.98%$14.07 (−3.26%)
Jul 14, 2026
11w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$16.74 $16.92▲ +1.08%▼ −1.42%$14.07 (−15.92%)
Jul 14, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$16.74 $16.92▲ +1.08%▼ −1.42%$14.07 (−15.92%)
Jul 10, 2026
12w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$15.44 $15.94▲ +3.24%▲ +0.81%$14.07 (−8.84%)
Jul 10, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$15.44 $15.94▲ +3.24%▲ +0.81%$14.07 (−8.84%)
Jul 1, 2026
13w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$14.09 $14.13▲ +0.28%▲ +2.47%$14.07 (−0.11%)
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

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Report published Jul 10, 2026