PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 6, 2026

MDLN

Medline Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 8/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The massive EPS miss and margin compression from tariffs and IPO costs will likely drive significant selling pressure. Watch the earnings call for color on tariff mitigation and whether the raised organic sales guidance can sustain if margins continue deteriorating. The maintained $3.5-$3.6B EBITDA guidance provides a floor but does not offset the earnings disappointment.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
MDLN ▼ -6.50% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +6.50% · α vs SPY +8.56% · entry $42.01 → $39.28
Entry anchored
May 5, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.36%
call +0.36% · α +0.03%
$41.86
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-8.24%
call +8.24% · α +9.37%
$38.55
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-17.95%
call +17.95% · α +20.73%
$34.47
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-6.50%
call +6.50% · α +8.56%
$39.28
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Medline reported Q1 2026 GAAP EPS of $0.01, a 96.6% miss vs consensus of $0.29, and net income fell 25.8% YoY to $239M. Revenue beat at $7.4B (+10.7% YoY) vs $7.16B consensus, and the company raised full-year organic sales guidance to 8.5%-9.5%. However, the massive EPS miss, declining margins (gross margin 25.0% vs 27.5% YoY), and operating cash flow drop of 39.6% overshadow the top-line beat.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.01
est $0.29 · -96.5%
Revenue
$7.4B
est $7.2B · +2.7% · +10.7% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Guidance
organic sales growth 8.5% to 9.5%
raised
Free Cash Flow
$316.0M
Gross Margin
25%

Key Facts

  • GAAP diluted EPS of $0.01 vs consensus $0.29 — a 96.6% miss
  • Net income fell 25.8% YoY to $239M; net income margin compressed to 3.3% from 4.8%
  • Revenue of $7.4B beat consensus of $7.16B (+10.7% YoY)
  • Gross margin declined 250 bps to 25.0% from 27.5% due to tariff impact and higher COGS
  • Adjusted EBITDA fell 10.6% YoY to $776M; Adjusted EBITDA margin 10.6% vs 13.1%
  • Operating cash flow dropped 39.6% to $412M; Free Cash Flow down 45.9% to $316M
  • Raised full-year 2026 organic sales growth guidance to 8.5%-9.5% (from 8%-9%)
  • Maintained Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $3.5-$3.6B
  • IPO-related expenses of $27M and employee bonus weighed on earnings

Financial Impact

EPS miss of $0.28 vs consensus; net income decline of $83M YoY; operating cash flow decline of $270M YoY

epsnet incomegross marginoperating cash flowfree cash flow

Risk Factors

  • Tariff impact on COGS may persist or worsen, further compressing margins
  • IPO-related expenses and employee bonuses may recur in subsequent quarters
  • Operating cash flow decline signals weakening cash generation despite revenue growth
  • High net leverage of 3.1x limits financial flexibility

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus
Analyst Consensus
79% bullish (34 analysts)

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3288704
18 reports for MDLN
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 2 of 4 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +7.81%May 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MDLN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$36.67 $36.30▼ −1.00%▼ −0.39%$35.61 (−2.88%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$36.67 $36.30▼ −1.00%▼ −0.39%$35.61 (−2.88%)
Jul 9, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$41.04 $35.23▼ −14.16%▼ −16.58%$35.61 (−13.23%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$37.13 $40.85▲ +10.02%▲ +8.13%$35.61 (−4.09%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$33.19 $41.73▲ +25.73%▲ +27.30%$35.61 (+7.29%)
Jun 1, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$33.19 $41.73▼ −25.73%▼ −27.30%$35.61 (−7.29%)
Jun 1, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$33.19 $41.73▼ −25.73%▼ −27.30%$35.61 (−7.29%)
May 22, 2026
19w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$37.01 $35.31▼ −4.59%▼ −3.18%$35.61 (−3.78%)
May 22, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$37.01 $35.31▲ +4.59%▲ +3.18%$35.61 (+3.78%)
May 20, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$36.25 $35.94▲ +0.86%▲ +1.60%$35.61 (+1.77%)
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 5m)

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Report published May 6, 2026