8-K ·Filed May 6, 2026

MDGL

MADRIGAL PHARMACEUTICALS, INC.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC0001628280-26-030896
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The 127% YoY revenue growth and accelerating patient adds (42,250+) confirm Rezdiffra's blockbuster trajectory. The EPS beat vs consensus is significant, but the widening net loss and $54.3M in one-time BD costs warrant monitoring. Watch for Q2 2026 patient adds and any updates on the oral GLP-1 Phase 1 initiation. The siRNA deal with Arrowhead adds pipeline optionality but near-term focus remains on Rezdiffra's commercial ramp.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
MDGL ▼ -13.42% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -13.42% · α vs SPY -15.48% · entry $539.73 → $467.32
Entry anchored
May 6, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-0.90%
call -0.90% · α -0.57%
$534.86
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-5.46%
call -5.46% · α -6.59%
$510.26
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-9.56%
call -9.56% · α -12.34%
$488.15
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-13.42%
call -13.42% · α -15.48%
$467.32
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals reported Q1 2026 Rezdiffra net sales of $311.3M (+127% YoY), beating consensus revenue estimates of $300.9M. The company posted a GAAP net loss of $94.4M (-$3.25/share), which was narrower than the consensus EPS estimate of -$4.14, driven by strong commercial execution and 42,250+ patients on therapy. Management highlighted blockbuster status on a trailing-12-month basis and a rapidly expanding MASH market, but the company remains unprofitable with rising operating expenses.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-3.25
est $-4.14 · +21.5%
Revenue
$311.3M
est $300.9M · +3.5% · +127.0% YoY
Rating
strong beat

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 Rezdiffra net sales of $311.3M, up 127% YoY from $137.3M
  • GAAP net loss of $94.4M (-$3.25/share) vs consensus -$4.14 (38% beat)
  • 42,250+ patients on Rezdiffra as of March 31, 2026, up 2.5x from Q1 2025
  • Cash, equivalents, and marketable securities of $817.9M as of March 31, 2026
  • Licensed clinical-stage siRNA asset (ARO-PNPLA3) from Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals on May 5, 2026
  • Operating expenses of $404.1M included $54.3M in one-time upfront business development costs
  • MGL-2086 (oral GLP-1) Phase 1 trial on track to initiate in Q2 2026

Financial Impact

Revenue beat consensus by ~$10.4M (3.5%); EPS beat by $0.89 (21.5% vs consensus -$4.14). Net loss widened YoY due to $54.3M in upfront BD expenses.

revenueepsoperating expensescash position

Risk Factors

  • Net loss widened to $94.4M from $73.2M YoY, driven by $54.3M in upfront BD expenses
  • Operating expenses grew 87% YoY to $404.1M, outpacing revenue growth
  • Cash burn: cash decreased $170.7M from Dec 2025 ($988.6M) to March 2026 ($817.9M)
  • Dependence on single product (Rezdiffra) for all revenue
  • Potential competitive pressure from other MASH therapies in development

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
87% bullish (23 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-030896
Document: mdgl-20260506.htm0001628280-26-030896
Document: 0001628280-26-030896-index-headers.html0001628280-26-030896
Document: 0001628280-26-030896-index.html0001628280-26-030896
Document: 0001628280-26-030896.txt0001628280-26-030896
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-030896
9 reports for MDGL
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for MDGL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$536.20 $533.12▼ −0.57%▲ +1.32%$496.64 (−7.38%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$493.11 $543.69▲ +10.26%▲ +6.29%$496.64 (+0.71%)
May 22, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$524.28 $520.00▼ −0.82%▲ +1.13%$496.64 (−5.27%)
May 6, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$539.73 $488.15▼ −9.56%▼ −12.34%$496.64 (−7.98%)
Apr 28, 2026
22w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$518.58 $515.96▼ −0.51%▼ −6.55%$496.64 (−4.23%)
Apr 22, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$529.14 $511.82▼ −3.27%▼ −6.44%$496.64 (−6.14%)
Mar 19, 2026
28w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$441.16 $527.11▲ +19.48%▲ +10.16%$496.64 (+12.57%)
Mar 2, 2026
30w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$435.62 $505.34▲ +16.00%▲ +23.94%$496.64 (+14.01%)
Mar 2, 2026
30w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$435.62 $505.34▲ +16.00%▲ +23.94%$496.64 (+14.01%)
Showing 9 of 9

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