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S-1 ·Filed Aug 7, 2026

MANE

Veradermics, Inc
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonimmediate Processed2mo ago SEC0001628280-26-054921
IPO registration
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Expect significant selling pressure as four major institutional holders (Longitude, Montanova, SR One, J.W. Childs) are registering their entire stakes for resale. Monitor for any large block trades in the coming days/weeks. The company's recent $108.65 close may face downward pressure as overhang materializes. No specific offer price or timing details are provided, but the 120-day effectiveness period with potential extensions creates near-term overhang.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
MANE ▼ -6.25% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +6.25% · α vs SPY +5.33% · entry $110.75 → $103.83
Next anchor: T+60d in 7d
Latest observation: T+53 -50.96% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.63%
call +1.63% · α +1.31%
$108.95
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-2.28%
call +2.28% · α +2.24%
$108.22
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-6.25%
call +6.25% · α +5.33%
$103.83
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7d

Executive Summary

Veradermics filed an S-1 registration statement for the resale of up to 17,072,058 shares of common stock (including 300,000 shares on exercise of pre-funded warrants) by selling stockholders, representing approximately 40.6% of total outstanding shares as of June 30, 2026. The company will not receive any proceeds from these sales, only from potential cash exercises of the warrants. This filing creates significant overhang risk as major institutional holders including Longitude Capital, Montanova Capital, SR One, and J.W. Childs Associates register their entire positions for sale.

Key Facts

  • Selling stockholders registering up to 16,772,058 common shares plus 300,000 shares underlying pre-funded warrants for resale
  • Resale shares represent ~40.6% of total outstanding common stock as of June 30, 2026
  • Company receives no proceeds from resale of shares by selling stockholders
  • Major selling stockholders include entities affiliated with Longitude Capital (4,653,873 shares), Montanova Capital (4,468,970 shares), SR One (2,401,868 shares), and J.W. Childs Associates (2,202,006 shares)
  • Last reported sale price on August 6, 2026: $108.65 per share
  • Maximum aggregate offering price calculated at ~$1.7 billion based on $99.39 average price
  • Company closed a $30.0 million private placement in May 2026 with Montanova Capital affiliates involving pre-funded warrants at $99.99999 per warrant

Financial Impact

Up to ~$1.7 billion in potential selling pressure at the reference price of ~$99.39 per share, representing 40.6% of outstanding shares registered for resale

dilutionstock pricemarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Massive secondary share overhang of 40.6% of outstanding shares registered for resale
  • No company proceeds from primary share sales means no positive catalyst to offset dilution
  • Potential for accelerated selling by large institutional holders exiting positions simultaneously
  • Late clinical-stage biopharma with no approved products or revenue - stock largely driven by clinical trial catalysts and sentiment

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
92% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-1 Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-054921
Exhibit: exfilingfees.htm0001628280-26-054921
Exhibit: exhibit51-sx1august2026.htm0001628280-26-054921
Exhibit: exhibit231-sx1august2026.htm0001628280-26-054921
Document: 0001628280-26-054921-index-headers.html0001628280-26-054921
Document: 0001628280-26-054921-index.html0001628280-26-054921
Document: 0001628280-26-054921.txt0001628280-26-054921
13 reports for MANE
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +9.74%Apr 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MANE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$122.28awaiting T+5—$138.23 (+13.04%)
Oct 13, 2026
12d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$116.26 $127.11▲ +9.33%▲ +10.48%$138.23 (+18.90%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$98.46 $98.41▲ +0.05%▲ +0.52%$138.23 (−40.39%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$102.82 $97.93▼ −4.76%▼ −5.23%$138.23 (+34.44%)
Aug 18, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$111.23 $102.80▼ −7.58%▼ −7.19%$138.23 (+24.27%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$110.75 $111.31▲ +0.51%▲ +0.91%$138.23 (+24.81%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$110.75 $108.22▲ +2.28%▲ +2.24%$138.23 (−24.81%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$114.39 $112.71▼ −1.47%▼ −1.87%$138.23 (+20.84%)
Jul 15, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$123.70 $109.85▼ −11.20%▼ −10.22%$138.23 (+11.75%)
May 12, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$103.90 $100.38▼ −3.39%▼ −3.47%$138.23 (+33.04%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 5h 6m

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Report published Aug 7, 2026