The EPS miss combined with Q2 2026 consensus of $0.52 suggests operational headwinds persist. Monitor the July 23 Q2 earnings call for cost trends (fuel, labor) and unit revenue guidance. The T+20 win rate history (100% on neutral reports) does not override the bearish signal here — this is a clear financial miss.
Price Chart
Executive Summary
Southwest Airlines reported Q1 2026 EPS of $0.45 versus consensus of $0.51, a 12.5% miss. Revenue was not disclosed in the provided document snippet. The EPS miss is material and negative, particularly against a mixed analyst backdrop (47% bullish) and in an airline sector facing cost/pricing headwinds.
Key Financial Metrics
Key Facts
- EPS of $0.45 missed consensus of $0.51 by 12.5%
- Revenue figure not available in provided document (actual, estimate, or YoY comparison)
- Q1 2026 ended March 31, 2026 — this is a delayed earnings release (July 13 PR announcing webcast for July 23 results?)
- Historical EPS pattern shows volatility: prior Q4 2025 beat by 3.6%, Q3 2025 beat by 1000%, Q2 2025 missed by 15.7%
Financial Impact
EPS miss of 12.5% ($0.06 per share shortfall) — material negative for a low-margin airline on approximately $8.6B quarterly revenue base
Risk Factors
- Revenue data missing — if revenue also missed, pressure intensifies
- Airline sector cyclicality; fuel cost volatility could compound
- Q2 guidance may be conservative given the Q1 miss pattern
Market Snapshot
Investment Themes
Documents Analyzed
This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.
| Document | Accession Number |
|---|---|
| PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic) | press-prn-302824213 |
Track record builds as more directional reports settle.
Filters
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 2, 2026 4w ago | Court Ruling | $38.61 $41.64 | ▲ +7.85% | ▲ +8.18% | $42.01 (+8.81%) |
Aug 26, 2026 5w ago | Court Ruling | $40.67 $41.55 | ▼ −2.16% | ▼ −2.02% | $42.01 (−3.29%) |
Aug 10, 2026 7w ago | 8-K | $45.52 $38.68 | ▼ −15.03% | ▼ −13.97% | $42.01 (−7.71%) |
Aug 7, 2026 8w ago | Court Ruling | $47.05 $39.62 | ▼ −15.79% | ▼ −15.39% | $42.01 (−10.71%) |
Jul 30, 2026 9w ago | Press Release | $45.60 $39.76 | ▼ −12.81% | ▼ −16.77% | $42.01 (−7.87%) |
Jul 13, 2026 11w ago | Press Release | $47.56 $45.52 | ▲ +4.29% | ▲ +6.78% | $42.01 (+11.67%) |
Jul 13, 2026 11w ago | Court Ruling | $47.92 $44.90 | ▼ −6.30% | ▼ −9.49% | $42.01 (−12.33%) |
Jul 7, 2026 12w ago | Court Ruling | $49.43 $47.07 | ▼ −4.77% | ▼ −6.11% | $42.01 (−15.01%) |
Apr 22, 2026 23w ago | 8-K | $37.65 $39.70 | ▲ +5.45% | ▲ +0.82% | $42.01 (+11.59%) |
Mar 30, 2026 26w ago | Court Ruling | $36.29 $38.00 | ▲ +4.72% | ▼ −7.88% | $42.01 (+15.77%) |
US Market Status
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