PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 14, 2026

LUNR

Intuitive Machines, LLC
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Focus on the FY2026 revenue guidance of $900M-$1B, which implies a significant ramp from Q1's run rate. Monitor Q2 results for revenue trajectory and margin progression. The large backlog provides revenue visibility but execution on contracts and integration of Lanteris remain key risks.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
LUNR ▼ -56.79% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -56.79% · α vs SPY -60.38% · entry $36.52 → $15.78
Entry anchored
May 14, 07:19 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-7.20%
call -7.20% · α -5.97%
$33.89
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-6.24%
call -6.24% · α -5.53%
$34.24
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-27.11%
call -27.11% · α -26.25%
$26.62
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-56.79%
call -56.79% · α -60.38%
$15.78
settled 7w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Intuitive Machines reported Q1 2026 revenue of $186.7M (miss vs $205.3M consensus) and GAAP EPS of -$0.25 (miss vs -$0.06 consensus). However, record backlog of $1.1B, positive Adjusted EBITDA of $2.7M, and strong FY2026 revenue guidance of $900M-$1B highlight the growth narrative from the Lanteris acquisition and major contract wins.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-0.25
est $-0.06 · -316.7%
Revenue
$186.7M
est $205.3M · -9.1% · +198.7% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
$900M-$1B
initiated
Free Cash Flow
-$64.6M
Gross Margin
16.1%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue $186.7M, up 199% YoY but 9% below $205.3M consensus
  • GAAP EPS -$0.25 vs consensus -$0.06 (316% miss)
  • Adjusted EBITDA positive at $2.7M vs -$6.6M a year ago
  • Record backlog $1.1B, up from $213M at year-end 2025
  • FY2026 revenue guidance initiated at $900M-$1B, with positive Adjusted EBITDA
  • Completed $800M Lanteris acquisition in January 2026; awarded $428.9M in new contracts including SDA and NASA CLPS

Financial Impact

Revenue miss of ~$18.5M (9%) vs consensus; EPS miss of $0.19

revenueepsbacklogadjusted EBITDA

Risk Factors

  • Execution risk on $1.1B backlog and integration of Lanteris acquisition
  • Negative operating cash flow (-$54.8M) and free cash flow (-$64.6M) in Q1
  • Dependence on government contracts (NASA, SDA) which are subject to funding and political risks

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys
Analyst Consensus
81% bullish (16 analysts)

Investment Themes

Space & Satellites

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3294812
21 reports for LUNR
Performance horizon
70% Hit rate 7 of 10 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +121.65%Mar 3, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for LUNR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$14.72 $14.79▲ +0.44%▼ −0.74%$14.67 (−0.34%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$17.56 $14.35▼ −18.28%▼ −16.53%$14.67 (−16.46%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$17.56 $14.35▼ −18.28%▼ −16.53%$14.67 (−16.46%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$13.96 $14.72▲ +5.44%▲ +6.68%$14.67 (+5.09%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$12.25 $16.18▼ −32.08%▼ −28.12%$14.67 (−19.76%)
Jun 17, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$22.85 $13.44▼ −41.18%▼ −41.71%$14.67 (−35.80%)
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$27.47 $17.85▲ +35.02%▲ +36.47%$14.67 (+46.60%)
Jun 3, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$33.83 $19.58▼ −42.12%▼ −41.12%$14.67 (−56.64%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$36.52 $26.62▼ −27.11%▼ −26.25%$14.67 (−59.83%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$36.52 $26.62▼ −27.11%▼ −26.25%$14.67 (−59.83%)
Showing 10 of 21

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Report published May 14, 2026