Institutional Cluster

LOCO

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 3/10
Horizonmonths Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 2 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Two Sigma's 788% position increase and Fund 1's 34% add suggest recent operating momentum or a catalyst is attracting selective buyers, but the absence of any activist or high-conviction active manager makes this a weak signal. Monitor next 10-Q for same-store sales trends and margin trajectory — that is what would drive further institutional rotation, not these quarter-end snapshots.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
LOCO ▼ -2.23% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -2.23% · α vs SPY -6.62% · entry $15.72 → $15.37
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 09:57 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.51%
call -0.51% · α -1.05%
$15.64
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+0.45%
call +0.45% · α +0.01%
$15.79
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+4.52%
call +4.52% · α +2.63%
$16.43
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-2.23%
call -2.23% · α -6.62%
$15.37
settled 24d ago

Executive Summary

Four institutional buyers (Two Sigma doubling its position, Morgan Stanley adding 56%, and two smaller adders) accumulated $3.2M in LOCO during Q3, while two passive sellers trimmed $1.1M. Net institutional conviction is mixed due to the small absolute dollar amounts ($8.2M in aggregate buyer holdings versus $459M market cap) and dominant passive/quant profile of the buyers — not a strong active-fund signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$8.2M
Sell Value
$2.6M
Net Flow
$2.1M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $2.1M

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Two SigmaDOUBLED+788.2%$2.1M$1.8M
Morgan StanleyADD+56.2%$3.7M$1.0M
Fund 1ADD+34.1%$2.5M$378.0K

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
UBSTRIM-40.9%$1.7M-$828.8K
InvescoTRIM-26.6%$862.0K-$304.6K

Key Facts

  • 4 buyers added a net $3.2M; 2 sellers trimmed $1.1M
  • Two Sigma DOUBLED its position (+788%), from $265K to $2.1M
  • Morgan Stanley ADDED 56.2%, from $2.7M to $3.7M
  • Invesco trimmed 26.6% and UBS trimmed 40.9% from passive mandates
  • Cluster is dominated by mega-passive (Fidelity, Morgan Stanley, Invesco, UBS) and quant (Two Sigma); only Fund 1 is an active-value fund
  • Aggregate buyer holdings of $8.2M represent ~1.8% of LOCO's $459M market cap

Financial Impact

Net institutional buying of $3.2M vs selling of $1.1M; total buyer holdings $8.2M — small relative to $459M market cap

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data has a 45-day lag; the positions may have been unwound or changed since quarter-end
  • No activist or high-alpha active fund participated — the buying is concentrated in passive and quantitative managers, which have lower stock-selection conviction
  • Historical model calibration shows a net negative T+20 alpha for LOCO reports (-2.66%) — past reads on this name have underperformed

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Eating Places
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-LOCO-2025-Q3
3 reports for LOCO
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for LOCO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jun 26, 2026
14w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$16.53 $14.41▲ +12.83%▲ +17.21%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$15.72 $15.37▼ −2.23%▼ −6.62%—
Apr 1, 2026
26w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$13.89 $16.96▲ +22.10%▲ +7.94%—
Showing 3 of 3

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (38h 4m)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026