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8-K ·Filed Oct 21, 2026

LOB

Live Oak Bancshares, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5d ago SEC0001462120-26-000068
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The sharp increase in provision expense and credit deterioration (distillery portfolio stress, rising NPLs and charge-offs) overshadowed strong revenue growth and operating leverage improvement. Monitor the Q4 2026 earnings call for updates on the distillery portfolio and credit normalization trajectory.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+1d ⚠ clustered
LOB ▼ -1.57% at T+1d
SHORT call ✓ call won +1.57% · α vs SPY +1.05% · entry $35.71 → $35.15
Next anchor: T+5d tomorrow
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.57%
call +1.57% · α +1.05%
$35.15
settled 4d ago
T+5d
Pending
tomorrow
T+20d
Pending
in 23d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Live Oak Bancshares reported Q3 2026 GAAP diluted EPS of $0.52, missing the consensus estimate of $0.66 by 21.2%. Revenue of $175.6M beat the $171.5M consensus by 2.4%. Net interest income grew 6.1% QoQ and 15.2% YoY, but the provision for credit losses surged to $54.7M (up 112% QoQ), driven by a $17.0M charge on the stressed distillery portfolio and reserves for record loan growth. Net income attributable to common shareholders fell 30.1% QoQ and 5.1% YoY.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.52
est $0.66 · -21.2%
Revenue
$175.6M
est $171.5M · +2.4% · +23.4% YoY
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 GAAP diluted EPS of $0.52 missed consensus of $0.66 (-21.2%)
  • Revenue of $175.6M beat consensus of $171.5M (+2.4%)
  • Provision for credit losses of $54.7M, up 112% QoQ from $25.8M and up 145.9% YoY from $22.2M
  • Provision included $17.0M decisive action on stressed distillery portfolio
  • Net income attributable to common shareholders of $24.3M, down 30.1% QoQ and 5.1% YoY
  • Net interest income of $133.0M, up 6.1% QoQ and 15.2% YoY
  • Net interest margin of 3.30%, down 3 bps QoQ from 3.33%
  • Loan production of $2.13B, up 37.8% QoQ and 29.4% YoY
  • Total assets of $17.0B, up 5.8% QoQ and 15.7% YoY
  • Net charge-offs of $32.1M, up from $24.2M in Q2 2026 and $16.8M in Q3 2025
  • Unguaranteed nonperforming loans to loans held for investment at 1.05%, up from 1.00% QoQ and 0.68% YoY
  • Common equity tier 1 capital ratio of 9.94%, down from 10.42% QoQ
  • Efficiency ratio improved to 48.80% from 54.13% QoQ and 58.68% YoY

Financial Impact

EPS miss of $0.14 (-21.2%) vs consensus; provision expense surged $28.9M QoQ to $54.7M

epsnet incomeprovision for credit lossesnet charge-offsnonperforming loans

Risk Factors

  • Credit quality deterioration in the distillery portfolio may require further provisioning
  • Rising unguaranteed nonperforming loans (1.05% vs 0.68% YoY) signal broader credit stress
  • CET1 ratio declining (9.94% vs 10.42% QoQ) could constrain growth or dividends
  • Net charge-offs annualized at 1.00% of average loans, up from 0.48% in Q4 2025

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001462120-26-000068
Document: lob-20261021.htm0001462120-26-000068
Document: 0001462120-26-000068-index-headers.html0001462120-26-000068
Document: 0001462120-26-000068-index.html0001462120-26-000068
Document: 0001462120-26-000068.txt0001462120-26-000068
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001462120-26-000068
33 reports for LOB
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+20 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 6 best @ T+20▲ +11.76%Mar 2, 2026
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Oct 26, 2026
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144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
—awaiting T+20——
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$35.71awaiting T+20—$34.68 (+2.88%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$35.71awaiting T+20—$34.68 (+2.88%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$35.35awaiting T+20—$34.68 (−1.90%)
Sep 11, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$39.40 $34.80▼ −11.68%▼ −13.94%$34.68 (−11.98%)
Sep 8, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$38.90 $34.26▼ −11.93%▼ −13.87%$34.68 (−10.85%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$39.56 $36.68▼ −7.28%▼ −6.09%$34.68 (−12.34%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$39.51 $36.39▼ −7.90%▼ −7.74%$34.68 (−12.22%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$40.73 $38.25▲ +6.09%▲ +6.09%$34.68 (+14.85%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$40.89 $38.25▼ −6.46%▼ −4.50%$34.68 (−15.19%)
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Report published Oct 21, 2026