EFFECT ·Filed Sep 3, 2026

LIVE

LIVE VENTURES Inc
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed29d 13h ago SEC9999999995-26-002869
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for a takedown announcement or prospectus supplement, especially given liquidity pressures from subsidiary debt default. The shelf becoming effective increases near-term dilution risk, though the small non-affiliate float limits immediate capacity. Expect volatility around any new offering pricing.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
LIVE ▼ -13.35% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +13.35% · α vs SPY +12.16% · entry $8.77 → $7.60
Next anchor: T+60d in 8w
Entry anchored
Sep 2, 04:00 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+0.34%
call -0.34% · α -0.73%
$8.80
settled 29d ago
T+5d
-7.87%
call +7.87% · α +6.72%
$8.08
settled 22d ago
T+20d
-13.35%
call +13.35% · α +12.16%
$7.60
settled 13h ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Live Ventures' shelf registration (S-3, File No. 333-296889) became effective on September 2, 2026, enabling the company to sell securities including common stock, preferred stock, and debt at its discretion. This creates a potential dilution overhang for the common stock, set against a backdrop of $117.7M in consolidated debt and a subsidiary default, with the company's non-affiliate market cap of ~$8.9M limiting near-term shelf capacity under baby-shelf rules.

Key Facts

  • Effectiveness date: September 2, 2026 for S-3 File No. 333-296889
  • Shelf allows future offerings of common stock, preferred stock, debt, warrants, rights, and units
  • Prior S-3 filing (June 2026) disclosed $117.7M consolidated debt and a subsidiary (Precision Metal Works) in default on ~$10.2M loan with forbearance expired
  • Company's non-affiliate market cap of ~$8.9M limits near-term shelf capacity to ~$3M under baby-shelf rules
  • Avg net alpha T+20 across this filing-type segment: -1.89%

Financial Impact

up to $50M gross proceeds (shelf size from prior S-3 filing) but effectively constrained to ~$3M near-term due to baby-shelf restrictions

dilutiondebt

Risk Factors

  • Potential equity dilution if company conducts a follow-on offering
  • Subsidiary default and high consolidated leverage raise credit risk, increasing urgency for capital raising
  • Low liquidity and small market cap amplify price impact of any registered offering

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Miscellaneous Retail
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002869
Document: 9999999995-26-002869-index.html9999999995-26-002869
Document: 9999999995-26-002869.txt9999999995-26-002869
6 reports for LIVE
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +3.32%May 14, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for LIVE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 3, 2026
29d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.77 $7.60▲ +13.35%▲ +12.16%$7.43 (+15.28%)
Aug 28, 2026
5w ago
S-3/A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$9.19 $7.50▼ −18.39%▼ −18.65%$7.43 (−19.15%)
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$9.31 $7.77▼ −16.54%▼ −16.03%$7.43 (−20.19%)
Jun 18, 2026
15w ago
S-3
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$10.30 $10.73▲ +4.17%▲ +3.64%$7.43 (−27.86%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$10.24 $9.90▲ +3.32%▲ +2.46%$7.43 (+27.44%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$10.24 $9.90▲ +3.32%▲ +2.46%$7.43 (+27.44%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (36h 35m)

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