6-K ·Filed Aug 26, 2026

LI

Li Auto Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001104659-26-101065
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Revenue and margins are deteriorating sharply YoY despite sequential QoQ improvement. The Q3 guidance midpoint implies essentially flat revenue YoY, which is weak for a growth-stage EV maker. The buyback provides a floor but does not offset fundamental erosion. Watch for further margin compression from pricing competition and the BEV refresh cycle. The 20-F annual report (filed 138 days ago) provides context on the company's financial position.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
LI ▼ -2.97% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +2.97% · α vs SPY +3.19% · entry $12.14 → $11.78
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Latest observation: T+24 -5.75% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 26, 07:51 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+0.33%
call -0.33% · α +0.33%
$12.18
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-1.07%
call +1.07% · α +0.95%
$12.01
settled 4w ago
T+20d
-2.97%
call +2.97% · α +3.19%
$11.78
settled 8d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Li Auto reported Q2 2026 results with total revenues of RMB25.7B (US$3.8B), down 15.1% YoY, and a net loss of RMB1.7B vs. net income of RMB1.1B a year ago. Vehicle margin collapsed to 9.4% from 19.4% YoY, and deliveries fell 11.5% YoY to 98,330 vehicles. The company guided Q3 deliveries of 95,000-100,000 (up 1.9%-7.3% YoY) and revenues of RMB26.6B-RMB28.0B (-2.8% to +2.3% YoY), implying continued weakness. The active US$1.0B buyback program has deployed ~US$631.5M to date.

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 total revenues RMB25.7B, down 15.1% YoY from RMB30.2B
  • Vehicle margin 9.4% vs 19.4% YoY — a 10 percentage point collapse
  • Net loss RMB1.7B vs net income RMB1.1B in Q2 2025
  • Deliveries fell 11.5% YoY to 98,330 vehicles
  • Q3 guidance: 95,000-100,000 deliveries (+1.9% to +7.3% YoY); revenues RMB26.6B-RMB28.0B (-2.8% to +2.3% YoY)
  • US$1.0B buyback program: ~US$631.5M deployed as of filing date
  • Cash position RMB87.5B (US$12.9B) as of June 30, 2026

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of 15.1% YoY, gross profit halved (-53.3% YoY), vehicle margin halved to 9.4%, net income swung to a loss of RMB1.7B

revenuevehicle margingross marginnet incomedeliveries

Risk Factors

  • Continued margin compression from intense NEV price competition in China
  • Lower average selling price from unfavorable product mix shift
  • Q3 guidance suggests revenue could still decline YoY
  • Execution risk on BEV refresh and global expansion

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
Analyst Consensus
47% bullish (32 analysts)

Investment Themes

Electric Vehicles

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-101065
Document: 0001104659-26-101065-index-headers.html0001104659-26-101065
Document: 0001104659-26-101065-index.html0001104659-26-101065
Document: 0001104659-26-101065.txt0001104659-26-101065
27 reports for LI
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate 5 of 6 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +22.52%May 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for LI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
18d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.17 $11.52▼ −5.34%▼ −5.45%$10.69 (−12.16%)
Sep 8, 2026
24d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$12.46 $11.76▼ −5.62%▼ −4.50%$10.69 (−14.21%)
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$11.90 $11.91▲ +0.08%▲ +0.00%$10.69 (−10.17%)
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$12.14 $12.01▲ +1.07%▲ +0.95%$10.69 (+11.94%)
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$12.14 $12.01▲ +1.07%▲ +0.95%$10.69 (+11.94%)
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$12.48 $12.10▼ −3.04%▼ −3.51%$10.69 (−14.34%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.41 $12.48▲ +0.56%▲ +1.75%$10.69 (−13.86%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$12.47 $12.71▲ +1.92%▲ +2.37%$10.69 (−14.27%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$12.68 $12.12▼ −4.42%▼ −4.01%$10.69 (−15.69%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.84 $12.41▼ −3.35%▼ −3.30%$10.69 (−16.74%)
Showing 10 of 27

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 29m)

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