Institutional Cluster

LGN

Legence Corp.
BULLISH
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 1 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The cluster strongly suggests an index-related event (e.g., addition to S&P 600 or Russell 2000). Traders should monitor for index reconstitution announcements and sector catalysts in construction trades (infrastructure spending). Given the 45-day 13F lag, these positions may already be stale—watch for Q1 2026 13F filings to see if the buying persisted.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
LGN ▼ -37.77% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -37.77% · α vs SPY -42.17% · entry $85.12 → $52.97
Entry anchored
Jun 10, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+1.03%
call +1.03% · α +0.49%
$86.00
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-0.01%
call -0.01% · α -0.45%
$85.11
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-13.10%
call -13.10% · α -14.99%
$73.97
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-37.77%
call -37.77% · α -42.17%
$52.97
settled 24d ago

Executive Summary

Legence Corp. (LGN) saw significant net institutional buying in Q4 2025, with four mega-passive funds (Vanguard, BlackRock, State Street, Morgan Stanley) adding a combined $225.5M in new holdings, while Fidelity trimmed $29.2M. The cluster is dominated by index rebalancing rather than active conviction, but the sheer size (~$196M net inflow, ~2.25% of market cap) suggests a passive catalyst such as index inclusion.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$282.3M
Sell Value
$201.7M
Net Flow
$196.3M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $196.3M

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
VanguardADD+78.1%$138.9M$83.1M
BlackRockDOUBLED+4681360.4%$106.8M$106.8M
State StreetNEW+0%$30.3M$30.3M
Morgan StanleyDOUBLED+397.8%$6.3M$5.4M

▼ Sellers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
FidelityTRIM-38.8%$201.7M-$29.2M

Key Facts

  • 4 buyers accumulated $282.3M in current holdings vs 1 seller at $172.5M
  • Vanguard increased stake by 78.1% to $138.9M
  • BlackRock went from ~$2K to $106.8M (essentially a new position)
  • State Street initiated a $30.3M position
  • Morgan Stanley nearly quadrupled its holding to $6.3M
  • Fidelity reduced by 38.8% to $172.5M, selling ~$29.2M

Financial Impact

Net institutional buying of approximately $196.3M, representing about 2.25% of LGN's $8.7B market cap.

ownership concentrationfloatpassive flow

Risk Factors

  • All buyers are passive/index funds, so the accumulation may reverse upon index changes or rebalancing
  • 13F data is 45+ days old; the cluster may have already been unwound
  • No active fund involvement reduces the signal's conviction
  • Historical calibration for this filing type shows only ~35% probability of positive T+20 returns

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Construction - Special Trade Contractors
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (22 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-LGN-2025-Q4
15 reports for LGN
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 3 of 6 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +48.73%Mar 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for LGN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$63.24 $56.65▼ −10.42%▼ −8.67%—
Aug 9, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$64.16 $57.04▼ −11.10%▼ −10.18%—
Jul 27, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$67.63 $56.38▼ −16.63%▼ −19.93%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$86.00 $73.66▼ −14.35%▼ −16.13%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$85.12 $73.97▼ −13.10%▼ −14.99%—
May 14, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$89.00 $86.00▼ −3.37%▼ −2.51%—
May 14, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$89.00 $86.00▼ −3.37%▼ −2.51%—
May 4, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$91.41 $86.55▼ −5.32%▼ −10.96%—
Apr 29, 2026
22w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$80.74 $83.26▲ +3.12%▼ −2.93%—
Apr 8, 2026
25w ago
424B4
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$59.75 $102.27▼ −71.16%▼ −63.60%—
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 1m)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026