The CEO's large sale is the dominant signal, but at 0.16% of market cap it is not overwhelming. Monitor for any upcoming 8-K or press release that could explain the timing. Given the mixed historical calibration (score 6-7 has ~42-46% win rate), this is a modest bearish signal, not a strong one. Consider waiting for confirmation from a subsequent filing or price action before acting.
Price Chart
Executive Summary
Four KTOS insiders, including the CEO, President of the STC Division, and General Counsel, sold a total of $17.87M in shares over a one-week window. The CEO's $17.13M sale dominates the cluster, representing approximately 0.16% of the company's $11.4B market cap. While the dollar value is notable, the CEO's sale is the largest by far, and the cluster is entirely composed of open-market sales, which are generally weaker signals than buys per academic literature. The historical performance on KTOS shows a 44% win rate with an average alpha of +2.43% at T+20, and the score calibration indicates that scores of 6-7 have observed probabilities of 42-46% for positive outcomes, suggesting caution against over-scoring this bearish signal. The cross-filing actuarial verdicts show all combos as amplifiers, but the lack of any specific negative cross-filing context (e.g., late filing, restatement) means the standalone interpretation applies.
Key Financial Metrics
Key Facts
- CEO Eric M. DeMarco sold 266,300 shares for $17.13M on 2026-08-14.
- Three other insiders (Director, President of STC Division, General Counsel) sold a combined $738K.
- Total insider sales in the cluster: $17.87M, representing ~0.16% of the $11.4B market cap.
- All transactions were open-market sales (code S); no buys in the cluster.
- Past KTOS reports show a 44% win rate at T+20 with an average alpha of +2.43%.
Financial Impact
CEO sold $17.13M; total cluster $17.87M (0.16% of market cap)
Risk Factors
- CEO sale may be for personal diversification or tax planning, not a bearish signal on the company.
- Insider sales are generally weaker predictors than buys; cluster sales are not more informative than single sales.
- The stock has a strong analyst consensus (86% bullish), which may offset insider selling sentiment.
Market Snapshot
Investment Themes
Documents Analyzed
This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.
| Document | Accession Number |
|---|---|
| CLUSTER Data (Synthetic) | cluster-KTOS-1787270481946 |
Filters
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aug 26, 2026 5w ago | Insider Cluster | $53.69 $47.02 | ▼ −12.42% | ▼ −11.91% | $43.07 (−19.78%) |
Aug 20, 2026 6w ago | Insider Cluster | $57.17 $47.46 | ▲ +16.98% | ▲ +16.71% | $43.07 (+24.66%) |
Aug 19, 2026 6w ago | Insider Cluster | $56.18 $47.46 | ▼ −15.52% | ▼ −15.52% | $43.07 (−23.34%) |
Aug 17, 2026 6w ago | 144 | $61.99 $47.59 | ▼ −23.23% | ▼ −21.92% | $43.07 (−30.52%) |
Aug 17, 2026 6w ago | Press Release | $63.29 $47.62 | ▼ −24.76% | ▼ −22.78% | $43.07 (−31.95%) |
Aug 7, 2026 7w ago | Insider Cluster | $62.42 $48.20 | ▼ −22.78% | ▼ −21.87% | $43.07 (−31.00%) |
Jul 17, 2026 10w ago | Insider Cluster | $45.94 $63.29 | ▲ +37.77% | ▲ +33.65% | $43.07 (−6.25%) |
Jul 17, 2026 10w ago | Insider Cluster | $45.94 $63.29 | ▲ +37.77% | ▲ +33.65% | $43.07 (−6.25%) |
Jul 10, 2026 11w ago | Insider Cluster | $46.96 $62.42 | ▲ +32.92% | ▲ +29.74% | $43.07 (−8.28%) |
Jul 2, 2026 13w ago | Insider Cluster | $55.35 $46.17 | ▼ −16.59% | ▼ −16.17% | $43.07 (−22.19%) |
US Market Status
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