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EFFECT ·Filed Jul 9, 2026

KRP

Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002227
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for any prospectus supplement or Form 144 filings indicating actual sales by selling unitholders. The overhang may pressure KRP units in the coming weeks; consider positioning for possible weakness if selling accelerates.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
KRP ▼ -1.35% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +1.35% · α vs SPY +2.99% · entry $14.78 → $14.58
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 9, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.54%
call +0.54% · α +0.97%
$14.70
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+0.14%
call -0.14% · α -0.27%
$14.80
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-1.83%
call +1.83% · α +4.07%
$14.51
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-1.35%
call +1.35% · α +2.99%
$14.58
settled 25d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Kimbell Royalty Partners' S-3 registration statement (File No. 333-297046) became effective on July 8, 2026, enabling the resale of up to 6,929,000 common units held by selling unitholders. These units were issued in a private placement completed on June 22, 2026, as partial consideration for a mineral and royalty asset acquisition. The company receives no proceeds, but the overhang of ~6.9M units (~8.6% of estimated outstanding units) creates near-term dilution risk.

Key Facts

  • S-3 (File No. 333-297046) effective 2026-07-08 for resale of up to 6,929,000 common units by selling unitholders.
  • Units issued June 22, 2026 in a private placement related to a mineral and royalty asset purchase agreement dated May 18, 2026.
  • Kimbell Royalty Partners receives no proceeds from this resale shelf.
  • Market cap ~$1.6B; the 6.9M unit overhang is a material percentage of outstanding units.

Financial Impact

Up to 6,929,000 common units eligible for resale; no proceeds to the company. Potential selling pressure from unitholders could weigh on KRP unit price.

dilutionstock price

Risk Factors

  • Large secondary overhang may depress unit price as selling unitholders execute trades.
  • No lock-up or volume restrictions disclosed; selling could be immediate and concentrated.
  • If the mineral acquisition fails to deliver expected cash flows, the stock may face additional downward pressure.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002227
Document: 9999999995-26-002227-index.html9999999995-26-002227
Document: 9999999995-26-002227.txt9999999995-26-002227
8 reports for KRP
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+60 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +7.96%Feb 26, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for KRP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$16.39awaiting T+60—$16.76 (+2.26%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$15.10awaiting T+60—$16.76 (−10.99%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$15.46awaiting T+60—$16.76 (+8.41%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.98awaiting T+60—$16.76 (+11.88%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$14.98 $15.43▲ +3.00%▼ −1.68%$16.76 (+11.88%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$14.78 $14.58▲ +1.35%▲ +2.99%$16.76 (−13.40%)
May 19, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$15.30 $15.11▼ −1.24%▼ −7.53%$16.76 (+9.54%)
Feb 26, 2026
34w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.13 $15.26▲ +7.96%▲ +0.21%$16.76 (+18.58%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 50m

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Report published Jul 9, 2026