8-K ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

KROS

Keros Therapeutics, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001664710-26-000043
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The milestone payment and Phase 3 initiation de-risk the elritercept program and provide a near-term capital return catalyst via the 25% distribution. Monitor for timing of payment receipt and any subsequent updates on trial enrollment or additional milestones from Takeda.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
KROS ▲ +9.53% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +9.53% · α vs SPY +6.55% · entry $10.07 → $11.03
Next anchor: T+60d in 21d
Latest observation: T+43 +32.11% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 30, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.40%
call +0.40% · α -1.03%
$10.11
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+10.72%
call +10.72% · α +7.21%
$11.15
settled 8w ago
T+20d
+9.53%
call +9.53% · α +6.55%
$11.03
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 21d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Keros Therapeutics announced a $20 million development milestone payment from partner Takeda triggered by dosing the first patient in the Phase 3 ELRiSE MDS trial for elritercept. The company expects to distribute 25% of the net cash proceeds from this milestone to stockholders, providing a tangible near-term capital return catalyst.

Key Facts

  • $20 million development milestone payment from Takeda triggered by first patient dosed in Phase 3 ELRiSE MDS trial
  • Phase 3 trial (ELRiSE MDS) is a multicenter, open-label, randomized study comparing elritercept vs epoetin alfa in low-risk MDS
  • Keros expects to distribute 25% of net cash proceeds from this milestone to stockholders
  • Under the global license agreement (effective Jan 16, 2025), Keros received $200M upfront in Feb 2025 and is eligible for up to $1.1B+ in milestones plus tiered royalties

Financial Impact

$20 million milestone payment (~10% of $197M market cap); 25% of net proceeds to be distributed to shareholders

cashshareholder distributions

Risk Factors

  • Clinical trial risk: Phase 3 ELRiSE MDS may fail to meet endpoints
  • Dependence on Takeda partnership for development and commercialization
  • No approved products; pre-revenue stage with ongoing operating losses

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
64% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001664710-26-000043
Exhibit: exhibit99173026pr.htm0001664710-26-000043
Document: 0001664710-26-000043-index-headers.html0001664710-26-000043
Document: 0001664710-26-000043-index.html0001664710-26-000043
Document: 0001664710-26-000043.txt0001664710-26-000043
17 reports for KROS
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +7.84%Mar 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for KROS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 8, 2026
23d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$11.31 $11.04▼ −2.39%▼ −2.05%$11.33 (+0.18%)
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.95 $11.23▲ +2.56%▲ +1.44%$11.33 (+3.47%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.25 $10.64▲ +3.80%▲ +3.90%$11.33 (+10.54%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.25 $10.64▲ +3.80%▲ +3.90%$11.33 (+10.54%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.07 $11.15▲ +10.72%▲ +7.21%$11.33 (+12.51%)
Jul 22, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.14 $10.22▲ +0.79%▲ +0.31%$11.33 (+11.74%)
Jun 17, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$10.65 $10.41▼ −2.25%▼ −0.59%$11.33 (+6.38%)
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$10.07 $10.24▲ +1.69%▼ −0.72%$11.33 (+12.51%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$10.99 $11.22▼ −2.09%▼ −2.81%$11.33 (−3.09%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$10.99 $11.22▼ −2.09%▼ −2.81%$11.33 (−3.09%)
Showing 10 of 17

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