8-K ·Filed Jun 18, 2026

KR

KROGER CO
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001104659-26-075395
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The revenue beat and reaffirmed guidance provide a floor, but the deceleration in identical sales and margin compression are headwinds. Watch for commentary on consumer spending trends and cost inflation in the upcoming conference call. The stock may trade range-bound until next quarter's results confirm whether the sales slowdown is temporary or structural.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
KR ▲ +7.60% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +7.60% · α vs SPY +5.70% · entry $56.61 → $60.91
Entry anchored
Jun 17, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-1.50%
call -1.50% · α -1.19%
$55.76
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+2.05%
call +2.05% · α +3.71%
$57.77
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+3.53%
call +3.53% · α +3.00%
$58.61
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
+7.60%
call +7.60% · α +5.70%
$60.91
settled 17d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Kroger reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $1.58, essentially in line with the $1.59 consensus, while revenue of $46.1B beat estimates by 1.5%. Identical sales without fuel decelerated to +1.0% from +3.2% a year ago, and gross margin contracted 30 bps. Full-year 2026 guidance was reaffirmed, signaling management's confidence in the back half, but the deceleration in core sales and margin pressure temper the outlook.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.58
est $1.59 · -0.6%
Revenue
$46.1B
est $45.5B · +1.5% · +2.2% YoY
Rating
in line
Guidance
1.0%-2.0% identical sales without fuel
maintained
Gross Margin
22.7%

Key Facts

  • Adjusted EPS $1.58 vs consensus $1.59 (in line)
  • Revenue $46.1B vs consensus $45.45B (beat by 1.5%)
  • Identical sales without fuel +1.0% vs +3.2% a year ago (deceleration)
  • Gross margin 22.7% vs 23.0% a year ago (down 30 bps)
  • Full-year 2026 guidance reaffirmed: EPS $5.10-$5.30, FIFO operating profit $5.0-$5.2B, identical sales 1.0%-2.0%
  • Adjusted eCommerce sales grew +19%; Kroger Precision Marketing profit grew over 20%
  • Net total debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio 1.75 (well below target range of 2.30-2.50)
  • $2B share repurchase authorization remaining, expected to complete by end of fiscal 2026

Financial Impact

Revenue beat of ~$670M (+1.5%) vs consensus, but identical sales growth slowed sharply. EPS in line. Guidance unchanged.

revenueidentical salesgross marginEPS

Risk Factors

  • Decelerating identical sales growth (1.0% vs 3.2% last year) could signal market share loss or softer consumer demand
  • Gross margin compression from price investments and higher transportation costs
  • Planned wage investments and OG&A rate increase may pressure operating margins
  • LIFO charge increased to $52M from $40M a year ago, reflecting inventory cost inflation

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Retail-Grocery Stores
Analyst Consensus
58% bullish (33 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-075395
Document: tm2618219d1_8k.htm0001104659-26-075395
Document: 0001104659-26-075395-index-headers.html0001104659-26-075395
Document: 0001104659-26-075395-index.html0001104659-26-075395
Document: 0001104659-26-075395.txt0001104659-26-075395
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-075395
17 reports for KR
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate 4 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +18.96%May 19, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for KR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 11, 2026
21d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$58.49 $60.00▲ +2.58%▲ +2.80%$59.37 (+1.50%)
Sep 2, 2026
29d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$58.51 $58.49▼ −0.03%▲ +1.11%$59.37 (+1.47%)
Jul 1, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$56.24 $58.54▲ +4.09%▲ +3.83%$59.37 (+5.57%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$55.91 $58.25▲ +4.19%▲ +2.80%$59.37 (+6.19%)
Jun 25, 2026
14w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$57.77 $58.22▲ +0.78%▼ −0.65%$59.37 (+2.77%)
Jun 18, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$56.61 $57.77▲ +2.05%▲ +3.71%$59.37 (+4.88%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$64.69 $61.22▼ −5.37%▼ −5.84%$59.37 (−8.22%)
May 19, 2026
19w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$70.62 $64.85▲ +8.17%▲ +10.41%$59.37 (+15.93%)
May 12, 2026
20w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$64.62 $70.60▲ +9.25%▲ +9.86%$59.37 (−8.12%)
Apr 29, 2026
22w ago
Court Ruling
MIXED ★ 4/10
$67.09 $66.92▼ −0.25%▼ −3.36%$59.37 (−11.50%)
Showing 10 of 17

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