8-K ·Filed May 6, 2026

KHC

Kraft Heinz Co
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC0001637459-26-000020
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The core business continues to shrink (organic sales -0.4%, adjusted op income -11.8%) despite the headline EPS beat from tax/timing items. The reaffirmed weak 2026 guidance confirms no near-term inflection. Watch for volume recovery in North America and whether the $600M investment yields market share gains by Q3.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
KHC ▲ +14.46% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -14.46% · α vs SPY -13.39% · entry $23.05 → $26.38
Entry anchored
May 6, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+2.60%
call -2.60% · α -2.93%
$23.65
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+1.40%
call -1.40% · α -0.27%
$23.37
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-1.25%
call +1.25% · α +4.03%
$22.76
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+14.46%
call -14.46% · α -13.39%
$26.38
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Kraft Heinz reported Q1 2026 GAAP diluted EPS of $0.67, a 13.6% YoY increase, on net sales of $6.047B (+0.8% YoY). However, Adjusted EPS fell 6.5% to $0.58 and Adjusted Operating Income declined 11.8%, as the company maintained its full-year 2026 outlook for continued declines in organic net sales and adjusted operating income. The headline EPS beat is driven by lower taxes and favorable other income, not underlying operational improvement.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.67
est $0.50 · +34.0%
Revenue
$6.0B
est $5.9B · +2.8% · +0.8% YoY
Rating
in line
Guidance
Organic Net Sales down 1.5% to down 3.5% vs prior year
maintained
Free Cash Flow
$766.0M
Gross Margin
36.7%

Key Facts

  • GAAP diluted EPS $0.67 vs $0.59 YoY (+13.6%), but Adjusted EPS fell 6.5% to $0.58
  • Net sales $6.047B (+0.8% YoY), but Organic Net Sales declined 0.4%
  • Adjusted Operating Income decreased 11.8% to $1.058B, driven by higher advertising costs and inflationary pressures
  • Full-year 2026 outlook reaffirmed: Organic Net Sales down 1.5% to 3.5%, Constant Currency Adjusted Operating Income down 14% to 18%
  • Free Cash Flow improved 58.9% to $0.8B, with Free Cash Flow Conversion of 111%
  • No share repurchases in Q1; $474M in dividends paid; $1.5B remaining buyback authorization

Financial Impact

Adjusted EPS guidance of $1.98-$2.10 implies a 19-24% decline from 2025's $2.60 Adjusted EPS, reflecting the $600M investment drag

revenueepsoperatingIncomeguidance

Risk Factors

  • Persistent volume/mix declines (-1.2% in Q1) signal ongoing market share losses to private label
  • Full-year guidance implies H2 2026 will be worse than H1, as lapping of lower variable comp becomes a 300bp headwind
  • SNAP headwinds expected to impact organic sales by ~100bps in 2026

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Canned, Frozen & Preservd Fruit, Veg & Food Specialties
Analyst Consensus
3% bullish (30 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001637459-26-000020
Document: khc-20260506.htm0001637459-26-000020
Document: 0001637459-26-000020-index-headers.html0001637459-26-000020
Document: 0001637459-26-000020-index.html0001637459-26-000020
Document: 0001637459-26-000020.txt0001637459-26-000020
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001637459-26-000020
11 reports for KHC
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate 1 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +7.98%Jun 8, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for KHC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$24.79 $25.13▲ +1.37%▲ +0.72%$22.16 (−10.63%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$25.73 $24.96▼ −2.99%▼ −2.83%$22.16 (−13.89%)
Jul 9, 2026
12w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$24.68 $24.85▼ −0.69%▼ −0.26%$22.16 (+10.23%)
Jun 18, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$22.82 $22.03▼ −3.46%▼ −3.15%$22.16 (−2.91%)
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$23.43 $24.05▲ +2.65%▲ +4.22%$22.16 (−5.44%)
May 21, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$23.79 $23.85▲ +0.25%▼ −0.33%$22.16 (−6.86%)
May 7, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$23.65 $23.95▲ +1.27%▲ +0.44%$22.16 (−6.31%)
May 7, 2026
21w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$23.65 $23.95▲ +1.27%▲ +0.44%$22.16 (−6.31%)
May 6, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$23.05 $23.65▼ −2.60%▼ −2.93%$22.16 (+3.87%)
Apr 3, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$23.57 $23.19▼ −1.62%▼ −1.69%$22.16 (−6.00%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 49m

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