PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Jul 31, 2026

KEY

KeyCorp
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The EPS miss breaks a streak of beats, likely pressuring the stock in the near term. Monitor for any forward guidance or expense commentary in the conference call. Given the negative historical drift on KEY reports, consider short-term bearish positioning.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d
KEY ▼ -5.26% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +5.26% · α vs SPY +6.50% · entry $22.81 → $21.61
Next anchor: T+60d in 24d
Latest observation: T+41 +4.67% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 31, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+1.21%
call -1.21% · α +0.55%
$23.09
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-0.57%
call +0.57% · α +2.60%
$22.68
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-5.26%
call +5.26% · α +6.50%
$21.61
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 24d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

KeyCorp reported Q2 2026 EPS of $0.44, missing consensus estimates of $0.46 by 4.0%, while revenue of $2.04B was in line. The miss on earnings, despite a history of beats in prior quarters, signals potential margin pressure or higher expenses, warranting caution. The stock's recent negative drift on prior reports and the EPS miss suggest a bearish near-term outlook.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.44
est $0.46 · -4.3%
Revenue
$2.0B
est $2.0B · 0.0%
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 EPS of $0.44 missed consensus of $0.46 by 4.0%.
  • Revenue of $2.04B matched consensus estimates.
  • Prior four quarters all beat consensus, making this miss a notable reversal.
  • Historical performance on KEY reports shows negative average T+20 returns of -1.88%.
  • No guidance change or restructuring was announced in this filing.

Financial Impact

EPS miss of $0.02 per share vs consensus, representing a 4.0% shortfall.

epsrevenue

Risk Factors

  • Potential for further downside if the miss is attributed to structural issues like rising credit costs or margin compression.
  • Positive sentiment from revenue in-line and prior beats could limit downside.
  • No guidance provided, leaving uncertainty about future quarters.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
National Commercial Banks
Analyst Consensus
54% bullish (24 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-prn-302840270
13 reports for KEY
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 5 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +11.11%Jun 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for KEY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
18d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$21.93 $20.87▼ −4.83%▼ −4.94%$20.10 (−8.37%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$23.10 $22.69▼ −1.77%▼ −1.68%$20.10 (−13.01%)
Jul 31, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$22.81 $22.68▲ +0.57%▲ +2.60%$20.10 (+11.90%)
Jul 21, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$22.95 $22.51▼ −1.92%▼ −0.69%$20.10 (−12.44%)
Jun 25, 2026
14w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$23.41 $23.25▲ +0.68%▲ +2.24%$20.10 (+14.16%)
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
S-3/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$23.02 $23.15▼ −0.56%▲ +0.45%$20.10 (+12.70%)
Jun 10, 2026
16w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$24.85 $25.00▲ +0.60%▼ −0.61%$20.10 (−19.13%)
Jun 5, 2026
16w ago
S-3
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$24.92 $24.94▲ +0.08%▼ −2.03%$20.10 (−19.36%)
Jun 5, 2026
16w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$24.92 $24.94▲ +0.08%▼ −2.03%$20.10 (−19.36%)
Jun 3, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.23 $20.50▲ +1.33%▲ +3.89%$20.10 (−0.66%)
Showing 10 of 13

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Report published Jul 31, 2026