PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 10, 2026

KEEL

Keel Infrastructure
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed1mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Monitor site-specific lease announcements and construction milestones as key catalysts. The $819M liquidity runway provides flexibility through the pre-revenue development phase, but the lack of signed tenant commitments at priority sites means the stock remains a binary bet on HPC/AI leasing execution. Track permitting progress at Panther Creek, Moses Lake, and Sherbrooke.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
KEEL ▲ +9.71% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +9.71% · α vs SPY +10.62% · entry $3.40 → $3.73
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Latest observation: T+37 +17.94% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 10, 07:00 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-3.24%
call -3.24% · α -2.92%
$3.29
settled 7w ago
T+5d
+10.88%
call +10.88% · α +10.93%
$3.77
settled 7w ago
T+20d
+9.71%
call +9.71% · α +10.62%
$3.73
settled 24d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 5w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Keel Infrastructure reported Q2 2026 revenue of $30M, down 50% YoY, and a GAAP loss of $0.11 per share, swinging from a $0.02 profit in Q2 2025, as the company winds down Bitcoin mining to focus on HPC/AI data center development. The headline numbers are weak due to the legacy mining shutdown, but the company raised $458M in convertible notes, ended the quarter with $819M in liquidity, and advanced permitting across three priority sites. The stock will trade on development progress and the timeline to lease execution, not the declining legacy revenue.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-0.11
est $-0.07 · -57.1%
Revenue
$30.4M
est $33.4M · -8.9% · -50.0% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Gross Margin
-285%

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 revenue of $30M, down 50% YoY from $60.9M
  • GAAP loss from continuing operations of $0.11 per share vs $0.02 profit in Q2 2025
  • Adjusted EBITDA of negative $24M, down from positive $7M in Q2 2025
  • Completed decommissioning of all U.S. Bitcoin mining operations
  • Raised $458M via convertible note offering during the quarter
  • Total liquidity of $819M as of Aug 7, 2026 ($698M cash + $121M in Bitcoin)
  • Sold 1,085 Bitcoin for $75M in proceeds as part of wind-down
  • Advanced permitting at Panther Creek, Sharon, and Moses Lake sites
  • Appointed Ganesh Aiyer as President to lead commercial activities
  • Agreement with Hydro-Sherbrooke for 96 MW capacity transfer for QC data center

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of 50% YoY to $30M; operating loss of $141M vs operating income of $11M; GAAP loss of $0.11/sh vs $0.02 profit

revenueearningsoperating marginadjusted EBITDA

Risk Factors

  • No signed tenant commitments at priority sites — lease execution risk
  • Convertible note dilution risk with $458M raised
  • Bitcoin price volatility impacts liquidity via remaining 1,861 BTC holdings
  • General and administrative expenses rising 62% YoY as headcount scales

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (18 analysts)

Investment Themes

Crypto & Blockchain

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3341696
12 reports for KEEL
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 6 of 6 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +38.60%Jun 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for KEEL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.32 $4.07▲ +22.59%▲ +23.12%$3.62 (+9.04%)
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$3.37 $4.01▲ +18.99%▲ +18.99%$3.62 (+7.42%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$3.16 $3.38▲ +6.96%▲ +7.95%$3.62 (+14.56%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$3.40 $3.73▲ +9.71%▲ +10.62%$3.62 (+6.47%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$3.40 $3.73▲ +9.71%▲ +10.62%$3.62 (+6.47%)
Jul 27, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.05 $3.25▼ −19.75%▼ −23.05%$3.62 (−10.62%)
Jul 6, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.84 $3.97▼ −17.98%▼ −17.41%$3.62 (−25.21%)
Jun 5, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.13 $4.84▲ +5.65%▲ +7.51%$3.62 (+29.43%)
Jun 4, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.13 $4.84▲ +5.65%▲ +7.51%$3.62 (+29.43%)
May 11, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.30 $5.42▼ −26.05%▼ −26.35%$3.62 (+15.81%)
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 7m)

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Report published Aug 10, 2026