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S-3 ·Filed Oct 14, 2026

JSPR

Jasper Therapeutics, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed12d 22h ago SEC0001213900-26-109479
Shelf registration — potential dilution
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The massive registered share count relative to current float creates persistent overhang until the stockholder meeting approves conversion and selling begins. Watch for the special meeting date and any insider selling patterns post-conversion. The going concern disclosure means the company will likely need additional capital beyond the $132M PIPE, which could come from another dilutive offering.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
JSPR ▼ -6.86% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +6.86% · α vs SPY +5.85% · entry $0.5321 → $0.4956
Next anchor: T+20d in 15d
Latest observation: T+6 -1.06% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-9.81%
call +9.81% · α +8.70%
$0.4799
settled 12d ago
T+5d
-6.86%
call +6.86% · α +5.85%
$0.4956
settled 6d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 15d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Jasper Therapeutics filed an S-3 shelf registration to register up to 284,013,011 shares of common stock for resale by selling stockholders, which are issuable upon conversion of PIPE preferred stock sold in a $132M private placement concurrent with the Kira merger in July 2026. The company receives no proceeds from this resale registration, but the massive potential dilution (the registered shares represent ~8.5x the current 33.3M outstanding common shares) creates significant overhang. The filing also discloses a going concern warning with $320.6M accumulated deficit and active need for additional capital.

Key Facts

  • S-3 registers up to 284,013,011 shares for resale by PIPE investors, representing ~8.5x the 33,274,561 shares outstanding as of Sep 28, 2026
  • Shares issuable upon conversion of 4,655,951 PIPE preferred shares at a 61:1 conversion ratio; conversion requires stockholder approval not yet obtained
  • Company will not receive any proceeds from this resale registration
  • Company disclosed substantial doubt about going concern with $320.6M accumulated deficit as of June 30, 2026
  • Stock closed at $0.4956 on Oct 13, 2026; registration fee calculated at $0.56/share for ~$159M aggregate offering value
  • PIPE raised ~$132M in gross proceeds in July 2026 concurrent with Kira acquisition
  • If all preferred stock converted, total shares outstanding would be ~616M, implying massive dilution from current 33.3M

Financial Impact

Potential resale of up to 284M shares at ~$0.50/share represents ~$142M in potential selling pressure, roughly 8.5x current float

dilutionshare pricemarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Massive dilution risk: 284M registered shares vs 33.3M outstanding represents ~8.5x current float
  • Going concern risk: $320.6M accumulated deficit, need for additional capital
  • Conversion contingent on stockholder approval not yet obtained; failure could trigger cash settlement obligation
  • Stock price at $0.50 near all-time lows; reverse split authorized but not yet effected
  • Lock-up agreements expire 180 days post-merger (Jan 2027), potentially adding selling pressure

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-3 Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-109479
Document: ea030842001ex5-1.htm0001213900-26-109479
Document: ea030842001ex-fee.htm0001213900-26-109479
Document: ea030842001ex23-2.htm0001213900-26-109479
Document: ea030842001ex23-1.htm0001213900-26-109479
Document: 0001213900-26-109479-index-headers.html0001213900-26-109479
Document: 0001213900-26-109479-index.html0001213900-26-109479
Document: 0001213900-26-109479.txt0001213900-26-109479
16 reports for JSPR
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +21.16%Jun 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for JSPR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
SC TO-I/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.5100awaiting T+5—$0.5189 (+1.75%)
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
DEF 14A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.4999awaiting T+5—$0.5189 (+3.80%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.5321 $0.4956▼ −6.86%▼ −5.85%$0.5189 (−2.48%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.5320 $0.4960▲ +6.77%▲ +5.75%$0.5189 (+2.46%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.5321 $0.4956▲ +6.86%▲ +5.85%$0.5189 (+2.48%)
Oct 7, 2026
20d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.5697 $0.5010▼ −12.06%▼ −11.08%$0.5189 (−8.92%)
Oct 7, 2026
20d ago
SC TO-I
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.5697 $0.5010▼ −12.06%▼ −11.08%$0.5189 (−8.92%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
25-NSE
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.6091 $0.5652▲ +7.21%▲ +6.99%$0.5189 (+14.81%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.7901 $0.7160▼ −9.38%▼ −8.01%$0.5189 (−34.32%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.6300 $0.7095▲ +12.62%▲ +9.11%$0.5189 (−17.63%)
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (17h 30m)

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Report published Oct 14, 2026