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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Oct 15, 2026

JSPR

Jasper Therapeutics, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed11d 13h ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · FDA
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The clinical milestone is incremental and non-catalytic until actual data readout. The dominant near-term factor is the S-3 overhang and going concern warning filed yesterday — monitor for any pricing or takedown announcement under the shelf, which would crystallize dilution. The IgAN data by year-end 2026 is the next binary catalyst.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
JSPR ▼ -6.77% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +6.77% · α vs SPY +5.75% · entry $0.5320 → $0.4960
Next anchor: T+20d in 16d
Latest observation: T+6 -1.06% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-9.77%
call +9.77% · α +8.67%
$0.4800
settled 11d ago
T+5d
-6.77%
call +6.77% · α +5.75%
$0.4960
settled 5d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 16d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Jasper Therapeutics announced completion of enrollment in the IgAN cohort of its Phase 2 basket study for vensobafusp alfa, with initial data expected by year-end 2026, and accelerated initiation of an FSGS cohort with first patient dosing expected in Q1 2027. The press release contains no financial data, no regulatory decision, and no material change in the company's risk profile. The cross-filing S-3 shelf registration filed yesterday (registering ~284M shares, ~8.5x current outstanding) creates massive dilution overhang and a going concern warning, which dominates the standalone clinical milestone.

Key Facts

  • Completed enrollment of 18 IgAN patients in Phase 2 basket study of vensobafusp alfa (KP104)
  • Initial interim data from IgAN cohort expected by year-end 2026
  • Expansion cohort in FSGS initiated; first patient dosing anticipated Q1 2027
  • S-3 shelf filed 2026-10-14 registers up to 284,013,011 shares for resale (~8.5x current 33.3M outstanding), with going concern warning and $320.6M accumulated deficit
  • No financial results, guidance, or regulatory decisions provided in this press release

Financial Impact

No financial data in press release; S-3 cross-filing implies massive potential dilution (~8.5x current shares) and going concern risk with $320.6M accumulated deficit

dilutioncash runway

Risk Factors

  • Massive dilution risk from S-3 shelf registration (~284M shares, ~8.5x current outstanding)
  • Going concern warning with $320.6M accumulated deficit and active need for additional capital
  • Clinical-stage company with no approved products; vensobafusp alfa is investigational
  • Interim data from small 18-patient cohort may not be predictive of later-stage results

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3381578
16 reports for JSPR
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +21.16%Jun 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for JSPR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
SC TO-I/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.5100awaiting T+5—$0.5050 (−0.98%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
DEF 14A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.4999awaiting T+5—$0.5050 (+1.02%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.5321 $0.4956▼ −6.86%▼ −5.85%$0.5050 (−5.09%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.5320 $0.4960▲ +6.77%▲ +5.75%$0.5050 (+5.08%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.5321 $0.4956▲ +6.86%▲ +5.85%$0.5050 (+5.09%)
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.5697 $0.5010▼ −12.06%▼ −11.08%$0.5050 (−11.36%)
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
SC TO-I
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.5697 $0.5010▼ −12.06%▼ −11.08%$0.5050 (−11.36%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
25-NSE
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.6091 $0.5652▲ +7.21%▲ +6.99%$0.5050 (+17.09%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.7901 $0.7160▼ −9.38%▼ −8.01%$0.5050 (−36.08%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.6300 $0.7095▲ +12.62%▲ +9.11%$0.5050 (−19.84%)
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (11h 55m)

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Report published Oct 15, 2026