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Institutional Cluster

JEF

Jefferies Financial Group Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 2/10
Horizonweeks Processed3d 6h ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 1 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The cluster is dominated by a single large seller (Assenagon) exiting roughly half its position, while the three buyers are very small (combined $1.9M current holdings). The 13F data is 45+ days stale; monitor next 10-Q for any change in the company's capital markets outlook or share repurchase activity.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled: T+1d
JEF ▼ -6.16% at T+1d
NEUTRAL call -6.16% · α vs SPY -4.39% · entry $49.15 → $46.12
Next anchor: T+5d in 4d
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 29, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-6.16%
call -6.16% · α -4.39%
$46.12
settled 2d ago
T+5d
Pending
in 4d
T+20d
Pending
in 26d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Executive Summary

Three small asset managers (Daiwa Securities, Mather Group, Hb Wealth Management) collectively added $893K in JEF during Q3 2026, while Assenagon Asset Management trimmed $27.8M, reducing its stake by half. The net institutional flow is heavily negative ($26.9M net selling), driven by a single large seller, and there is no insider buying to corroborate the small-buyer cluster.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$1.9M
Sell Value
$51.4M
Net Flow
-$26.9M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$26.9M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Daiwa Securities GroupDOUBLED+13145.4%$588.0K$583.0K
Mather GroupDOUBLED+118.2%$5.0K$3.0K
Hb Wealth ManagementADD+52.8%$1.4M$307.0K

▼ Sellers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Assenagon Asset ManagementTRIM-49.8%$51.4M-$27.8M

Key Facts

  • 3 buyers added $893K in aggregate; 1 seller reduced by $27.8M
  • Assenagon Asset Management trimmed 49.8% of its position, selling $27.8M worth of shares
  • Daiwa Securities Group more than doubled a tiny position (from $5K to $588K)
  • No open-market insider buying in the window (confluence score 18/100, institutions only)
  • Two 424B5 structured note offerings were filed 20 days prior, raising at least $877K in aggregate principal
  • Preliminary Q3 FY2026 results showed Net Earnings Attributable to Common Shareholders of $261M

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of $26.9M (buyers added $893K, seller reduced $27.8M)

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is at least 45 days stale; positions may have been unwound since quarter-end
  • Single large seller dominates the net flow; small buyers may not signal institutional conviction
  • No insider buying to corroborate the bullish signal from the three small buyers
  • Recent structured note offerings (424B5) add modest leverage but are routine capital market activity

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
Analyst Consensus
56% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-JEF-2026-Q3
79 reports for JEF
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +14.51%Jun 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for JEF, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 29, 2026
3d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$49.15awaiting T+20awaiting T+20No price
Oct 27, 2026
5d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$47.51awaiting T+20awaiting T+20No price
Oct 20, 2026
12d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$45.03awaiting T+20awaiting T+20No price
Oct 19, 2026
13d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$43.60awaiting T+20awaiting T+20No price
Oct 9, 2026
23d ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$45.01awaiting T+20awaiting T+20No price
Oct 9, 2026
23d ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$44.38awaiting T+20awaiting T+20No price
Oct 9, 2026
23d ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$44.38awaiting T+20awaiting T+20No price
Oct 9, 2026
23d ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$44.38awaiting T+20awaiting T+20No price
Oct 9, 2026
23d ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$44.38awaiting T+20awaiting T+20No price
Oct 8, 2026
24d ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$44.40awaiting T+20awaiting T+20No price
Showing 10 of 79

US Market Status

Market Closed · Opens Mon (< 1m)

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Report published Oct 29, 2026