8-K ·Filed Apr 30, 2026

ITW

ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0000049826-26-000025
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The EPS beat and guidance raise are positive signals, but the extremely low organic growth (0.4%) and heavy reliance on FX tailwinds warrant caution. Watch for demand trends in the Automotive OEM and Food Equipment segments, which posted negative organic growth, and monitor whether the capex-led segments (Welding, Test & Electronics) can sustain their momentum. The $1.5B buyback plan provides a floor.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
ITW ▲ +9.74% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +9.74% · α vs SPY +6.92% · entry $257.89 → $283.02
Entry anchored
Apr 30, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-0.97%
call -0.97% · α -1.19%
$255.39
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-1.00%
call -1.00% · α -2.73%
$255.30
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-4.21%
call -4.21% · α -9.43%
$247.04
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+9.74%
call +9.74% · α +6.92%
$283.02
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

ITW reported Q1 2026 GAAP EPS of $2.66, a 12% YoY increase and a 3.7% beat vs the $2.56 consensus estimate. Revenue of $4.016B grew 4.6% YoY, slightly above the $4.01B consensus, driven by a 3.9% FX tailwind and 0.3% from acquisitions, though organic growth was only 0.4%. The company raised its full-year 2026 GAAP EPS guidance by $0.10 to $11.10-$11.50, representing 8% growth at the midpoint, while maintaining its revenue growth outlook of 2-4%.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$2.66
est $2.56 · +3.9%
Revenue
$4.0B
est $4.0B · +0.1% · +4.6% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
2-4% growth (not a dollar range)
raised
Free Cash Flow
$528.0M
Gross Margin
43.8%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 GAAP EPS of $2.66 beat consensus of $2.56 by 3.7%
  • Revenue of $4.016B grew 4.6% YoY, slightly above $4.01B consensus
  • Organic revenue growth was only 0.4%; FX contributed 3.9% and acquisitions 0.3%
  • Operating margin expanded 60 bps to 25.4%, with enterprise initiatives contributing 120 bps
  • Full-year 2026 GAAP EPS guidance raised by $0.10 to $11.10-$11.50 (8% growth at midpoint)
  • Revenue growth guidance maintained at 2-4%; organic growth at 1-3%
  • Operating cash flow of $623M; free cash flow of $528M (69% conversion of net income)
  • Company repurchased $375M of shares in Q1; plans ~$1.5B for full year
  • Effective tax rate was 20.6% in Q1, benefiting from a $34M discrete tax benefit

Financial Impact

GAAP EPS beat consensus by $0.10 (3.7%); full-year guidance raised by $0.10 at midpoint

epsrevenueoperating marginguidance

Risk Factors

  • Organic growth of only 0.4% suggests underlying demand is weak; FX tailwinds are not sustainable
  • Automotive OEM (-0.9% organic) and Food Equipment (-2.8% organic) segments are contracting
  • Guidance raise was modest ($0.10) and may already be priced in
  • Tariff and inflation risks remain, though management claims pricing actions offset them in 2025

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
General Industrial Machinery & Equipment
Analyst Consensus
8% bullish (26 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000049826-26-000025
Document: itw-20260430.htm0000049826-26-000025
Document: 0000049826-26-000025-index-headers.html0000049826-26-000025
Document: 0000049826-26-000025-index.html0000049826-26-000025
Document: 0000049826-26-000025.txt0000049826-26-000025
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000049826-26-000025
11 reports for ITW
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for ITW — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$282.29 $267.52▼ −5.23%▼ −4.71%$262.92 (−6.86%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$293.15 $263.99▼ −9.95%▼ −8.89%$262.92 (−10.31%)
Aug 7, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$296.36 $270.12▼ −8.85%▼ −8.46%$262.92 (−11.28%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$295.16 $281.65▼ −4.58%▼ −7.96%$262.92 (−10.92%)
Jul 9, 2026
12w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$265.48 $294.70▲ +11.01%▲ +8.76%$262.92 (−0.96%)
Jul 8, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$265.48 $294.70▲ +11.01%▲ +8.76%$262.92 (−0.96%)
May 8, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$254.34 $252.72▼ −0.64%▼ −0.66%$262.92 (+3.37%)
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$257.89 $247.04▼ −4.21%▼ −9.43%$262.92 (+1.95%)
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$257.89 $247.04▼ −4.21%▼ −9.43%$262.92 (+1.95%)
Apr 10, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$270.34 $255.53▼ −5.48%▼ −14.01%$262.92 (−2.75%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h)

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