Insider Cluster (2 insiders) ·Filed Jul 7, 2026

IOT

Samsara Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 2/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $732K total
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The insider sales are too small relative to market cap to warrant a bearish read. With prior model performance on IOT significantly negative, avoid directional bias from this cluster. Monitor for any material 8-K filings or earnings events as a more likely catalyst.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
IOT ▲ +9.88% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +9.88% · α vs SPY +7.39% · entry $36.44 → $40.04
Entry anchored
Jul 7, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+1.51%
call +1.51% · α +0.66%
$36.99
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+1.26%
call +1.26% · α +0.40%
$36.90
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+6.28%
call +6.28% · α +3.01%
$38.73
settled 8w ago
T+60d
+9.88%
call +9.88% · α +7.39%
$40.04
settled 2d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Two insiders at Samsara sold shares totaling $732K in open-market transactions over the past week. The sales represent a trivial 0.003% of the $21.9B market cap, making the cluster economically immaterial. Historical model performance on IOT is poor (25% win rate, -4.3% avg T+20 return for 10 prior reports), and the sales are small and lack C-suite dominance — bear no bearish signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$1.1M
Insiders
2

Key Facts

  • Two insiders (Eltoukhy Adam and Phillips Dominic) sold a combined 33,627 shares in open-market trades from July 1 to July 6, 2026.
  • Total sale value is $1,134,000 (rounded), just 0.005% of Samsara's $21.9B market cap.
  • No C-suite title is specified for either seller (both marked 'SEE REMARKS').
  • Prior 10 settled reports on IOT averaged -4.31% T+20 return with a 25% win rate and -3.49% alpha vs. SPY.
  • SCORE CALIBRATION shows that score-2 and score-4 filing_report predictions on IOT have historically underperformed.

Financial Impact

Total insider sales of ~$1.13M over 6 days, representing ~0.005% of market cap — trivial in scale.

Risk Factors

  • Insider sales may be misinterpreted as bearish by less sophisticated market participants despite being negligible in size.
  • Model calibration shows poor predictive accuracy on IOT historically, increasing noise in any directional inference.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design
Analyst Consensus
78% bullish (27 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-IOT-1783461706997
36 reports for IOT
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +15.67%Apr 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for IOT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$41.16 $37.96▲ +7.77%▲ +8.28%$41.12 (+0.10%)
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$39.94 $39.55▼ −0.98%▼ −0.70%$41.12 (+2.95%)
Aug 7, 2026
7w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$39.86 $40.15▲ +0.73%▲ +1.64%$41.12 (+3.16%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$38.22 $38.75▲ +1.39%▲ +0.79%$41.12 (+7.59%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$38.22 $38.75▲ +1.39%▲ +0.79%$41.12 (+7.59%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$38.73 $36.79▼ −5.01%▼ −4.41%$41.12 (+6.17%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$35.80 $41.87▲ +16.96%▲ +12.99%$41.12 (+14.86%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$38.75 $39.84▲ +2.81%▼ −2.21%$41.12 (+6.12%)
Jul 23, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$33.11 $39.94▲ +20.63%▲ +17.00%$41.12 (+24.19%)
Jul 23, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$33.11 $39.94▲ +20.63%▲ +17.00%$41.12 (+24.19%)
Showing 10 of 36

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 7m)

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Report published Jul 7, 2026