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8-K ·Filed Oct 21, 2026

IONS

IONIS PHARMACEUTICALS INC
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5d 19h ago SEC0001140361-26-040388
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01, 8.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor GSK's commercial launch execution and initial prescription data for HIBSAGO, as well as upcoming regulatory decisions in ex-US geographies which could trigger milestone payments to Ionis.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+1d
IONS ▼ -2.23% at T+1d
LONG call ✗ call lost -2.23% · α vs SPY -1.71% · entry $43.91 → $42.93
Next anchor: T+5d in 20h
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.23%
call -2.23% · α -1.71%
$42.93
settled 5d ago
T+5d
Pending
in 20h
T+20d
Pending
in 22d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

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Executive Summary

Ionis Pharmaceuticals' partner GSK announced FDA approval of HIBSAGO (bepirovirsen) for chronic hepatitis B, a first-in-class RNA-targeted medicine. Phase 3 data showed a 19% functional cure rate vs <1% for standard of care. Ionis receives tiered royalties of 10-12% on net sales and is eligible for additional milestone payments.

Key Facts

  • FDA approved HIBSAGO (bepirovirsen) for chronic hepatitis B under priority review and Breakthrough Therapy Designation
  • Phase 3 B-Well trials showed 19% functional cure rate (233/1,220) vs <1% for standard of care
  • Ionis receives tiered royalties of 10-12% on net sales of bepirovirsen
  • GSK licensed bepirovirsen from Ionis in 2019; Ionis has received upfront, license fee, and development/regulatory milestone payments
  • GSK advancing regulatory submissions globally with key decisions expected in coming months

Financial Impact

Ionis eligible for tiered royalties of 10-12% on net sales plus additional regulatory and sales milestone payments; no specific dollar amounts disclosed

revenueroyalties

Risk Factors

  • Boxed warning for on-treatment hepatic flares and thrombocytopenia may limit adoption
  • Narrow indicated population (non-cirrhotic, HBsAg ≤3000 IU/ml) restricts addressable market
  • Competition from other HBV functional cure candidates in development
  • Royalty rate (10-12%) is modest relative to typical biotech licensing deals

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-040388
Document: ef20084189_ex99-1.htm0001140361-26-040388
Document: 0001140361-26-040388-index-headers.html0001140361-26-040388
Document: 0001140361-26-040388-index.html0001140361-26-040388
Document: 0001140361-26-040388.txt0001140361-26-040388
24 reports for IONS
Performance horizon
57% Hit rate @ T+20 4 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 8 best @ T+60▲ +32.25%Jul 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for IONS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$42.93awaiting T+20—$43.51 (+1.35%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$43.91awaiting T+20—$43.51 (−0.91%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$43.91awaiting T+20—$43.51 (−0.91%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$43.93 $44.27▲ +0.77%▲ +0.09%$43.51 (−0.96%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$56.71 $44.00▲ +22.41%▲ +24.13%$43.51 (+23.28%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$58.09 $43.50▼ −25.12%▼ −25.72%$43.51 (−25.10%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
Insider Buy
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$54.49 $60.36▲ +10.77%▲ +9.53%$43.51 (−20.15%)
Jul 29, 2026
12w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$54.04 $63.36▲ +17.25%▲ +12.23%$43.51 (−19.49%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$58.25 $56.56▼ −2.90%▼ −5.33%$43.51 (−25.30%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$58.25 $56.56▼ −2.90%▼ −5.33%$43.51 (−25.30%)
Showing 10 of 24

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Report published Oct 21, 2026