424B5 ·Filed Jun 8, 2026

IDYA

IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonimmediate Processed3mo ago SEC0001193125-26-261756
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The $300M offering is being conducted shortly after strong pipeline catalysts (ASCO data, Roche deal, NDA acceptance), suggesting the company is opportunistically raising capital at a premium to cash value. The immediate dilution pressure is the key near-term risk. Monitor the pricing of the offering relative to the $28.29 close on June 5 — a discount greater than 5% would be particularly bearish. Watch for any insider participation as a mitigating signal.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
IDYA ▲ +43.11% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -43.11% · α vs SPY -39.29% · entry $28.07 → $40.17
Entry anchored
Jun 8, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-1.67%
call +1.67% · α +0.10%
$27.60
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+7.70%
call -7.70% · α -5.28%
$30.23
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+44.32%
call -44.32% · α -42.87%
$40.51
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+43.11%
call -43.11% · α -39.29%
$40.17
settled 4w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

IDEAYA Biosciences filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement for a $300M underwritten public offering of common stock and pre-funded warrants, with an additional $45M greenshoe option. The offering comes on the heels of positive Phase 2/3 data for darovasertib in uveal melanoma presented at ASCO on June 1, a newly announced Roche collaboration for IDE892 in pancreatic cancer, and an NDA acceptance for review under the FDA's Real-Time Oncology Review program. The massive dilution (~12%+ at current share count, more with warrants exercised) is the dominant near-term factor, offsetting the positive pipeline catalysts and potentially capping upside.

Key Facts

  • $300 million offering of common stock and pre-funded warrants
  • Underwriters have option to purchase up to an additional $45 million of common stock
  • Last reported stock price: $28.29 on June 5, 2026
  • Net tangible book value as of March 31, 2026: $937.3 million, or $10.67 per share
  • 87,856,154 shares outstanding as of March 31, 2026
  • Proceeds for continued clinical development and potential commercialization of darovasertib for uveal melanoma, advancement of pipeline, and general corporate purposes
  • Positive OptimUM-02 Phase 2/3 data presented June 1, 2026: darovasertib combination met primary endpoint with median PFS 6.9 months vs 3.1 months (HR: 0.42; p<0.0001)
  • FDA agreed to review NDA for darovasertib under Real-Time Oncology Review program in April 2026; NDA filing expected H2 2026
  • Roche clinical collaboration announced June 3, 2026 for IDE892 in MTAP-deleted pancreatic cancer

Financial Impact

$300M offering (plus up to $45M greenshoe) representing approximately 12-17% dilution to existing shareholders at the current ~88M share count, with additional dilution from pre-funded warrants

dilutionshare countnet tangible book value

Risk Factors

  • Immediate and substantial dilution to existing shareholders
  • Dilution could be 12-17%+ depending on exercise of greenshoe and pre-funded warrants
  • Proceeds use is at management's broad discretion with no specific M&A target identified
  • Biotech market volatility may amplify the share price impact of a large secondary
  • Pre-funded warrants have no public trading market and limited liquidity

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (25 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-261756
Document: 0001193125-26-261756-index-headers.html0001193125-26-261756
Document: 0001193125-26-261756-index.html0001193125-26-261756
Document: 0001193125-26-261756.txt0001193125-26-261756
10 reports for IDYA
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate 1 of 3 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +15.66%Apr 13, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for IDYA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$36.11 $39.95▲ +10.63%▲ +11.87%$37.05 (+2.60%)
Jun 23, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$36.28 $35.00▼ −3.53%▼ −5.46%$37.05 (+2.12%)
Jun 10, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$28.84 $37.28▼ −29.26%▼ −27.37%$37.05 (−28.47%)
Jun 9, 2026
16w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$27.60 $37.28▼ −35.07%▼ −31.45%$37.05 (−34.24%)
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$28.07 $40.51▼ −44.32%▼ −42.87%$37.05 (−31.99%)
Jun 3, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$28.40 $37.65▲ +32.57%▲ +33.57%$37.05 (+30.46%)
May 5, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$28.74 $28.40▼ −1.18%▼ −3.96%$37.05 (+28.91%)
May 5, 2026
21w ago
424B5
MIXED ★ 5/10
$28.74 $28.40▼ −1.18%▼ −3.96%$37.05 (+28.91%)
Apr 13, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$32.82 $28.13▼ −14.29%▼ −22.02%$37.05 (+12.89%)
Apr 9, 2026
25w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$31.00 $28.74▼ −7.29%▼ −14.86%$37.05 (+19.52%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 49m

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