Institutional Cluster

ICE

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 39 buyers, 21 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The mixed cluster with divergent active manager conviction — quants buy aggressively while value managers sell — suggests no consensus signal on ICE. With the cross-filing amplifier inst-earnings-context + inst-offering-context indicating these moves may have been around earnings/offering events, monitor whether the selling accelerates into Q4 13F data as a potential overhang. For traders, the lack of clear institutional direction warrants a neutral stance until conviction coalesces.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ICE ▲ +12.26% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +12.26% · α vs SPY +9.00% · entry $140.53 → $157.76
Entry anchored
Jun 12, 10:05 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.31%
call -0.31% · α -2.07%
$140.10
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-4.73%
call -4.73% · α -5.40%
$133.88
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-3.75%
call -3.75% · α -5.53%
$135.26
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+12.26%
call +12.26% · α +9.00%
$157.76
settled 23d ago

Executive Summary

A mixed institutional cluster in ICE's Q3 2024 13Fs shows $372.5M in buying (net +$194.9M from $177.6M prior) against $378.4M in selling, creating net selling pressure. Aggressive active buying by Citadel ($113.8M add), Point72 ($16.2M doubler), and Nisa ($21.7M add) is countered by major trims from Mawer ($117.8M cut), Balyasny ($111.6M cut), and Prudential ($29.6M cut). The divergence between quant-driven accumulators and value-oriented divestors suggests a thesis split on ICE's growth trajectory and valuation.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$372.5M
Sell Value
$378.4M
Net Flow
-$183.5M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$183.5M

▲ Buyers (39)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
CitadelADD+69.5%$229.0M$113.8M
Nisa Investment AdvisorsADD+57.5%$47.3M$21.7M
Nissay Asset Management CorpADD+51.9%$37.5M$16.4M
Point72DOUBLED+298%$20.6M$16.2M
King Luther Capital ManagementDOUBLED+135.2%$19.7M$12.6M
M&GNEW+0%$10.7M$10.7M
&PartnersDOUBLED+119.3%$3.2M$1.9M
Neos Investment ManagementADD+26.6%$4.6M$1.5M

▼ Sellers (21)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
MawerTRIM-30.7%$632.0M-$117.8M
Balyasny Asset ManagementTRIM-61.1%$205.2M-$111.6M
Verition Fund ManagementNEAR_EXIT-96.2%$45.5M-$43.5M
First Trust AdvisorsNEAR_EXIT-95.5%$46.8M-$44.3M
Prudential FinancialTRIM-37.4%$111.4M-$29.6M
Swedbank AbEXIT-100%$11.6M-$11.6M
Glenmede Trust Co NaTRIM-40.8%$46.2M-$14.1M

Key Facts

  • 39 buyers accumulated $372.5M in positions (net change +$194.9M)
  • 21 sellers reduced $378.4M in positions (net change of -$378.4M)
  • Citadel added 584.4K shares, increasing its stake by $113.8M
  • Mawer trimmed 1.42M shares, reducing its position by $117.8M
  • 2 new positions (M&G) and 3 near-exits/single exit among sellers
  • Net aggregate value change across all tracked funds: -$183.5M (selling $378.4M vs buying $194.9M)
  • Active quant funds (Citadel, Point72) are net buyers; value-oriented funds (Mawer, Balyasny) are net sellers

Financial Impact

Active quant funds added $175M+ while top value funds cut $351M+, resulting in aggregate institutional net selling of ~$183.5M based on the tracked 60-fund sample.

institutional ownershipshare price sentiment

Risk Factors

  • 13F data carries a 45-day reporting lag; positions may have already been adjusted after quarter end
  • Mawer's large trim alongside Balyasny's sell suggests fundamental concerns among value-driven allocators
  • Active quant buying could be hedging-related rather than directional conviction
  • Historical P&L on prior ICE calls shows consistent negative drift (average T+20 -3.5%) suggesting persistent headwinds

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (21 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-ICE-2024-Q3
18 reports for ICE
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 3 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +3.13%Jul 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ICE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 3, 2026
29d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$164.59 $157.40▼ −4.37%▼ −3.22%—
Aug 28, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$162.33 $161.26▼ −0.66%▼ −0.77%—
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$162.99 $160.70▼ −1.41%▼ −1.87%—
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$161.25 $162.33▲ +0.67%▲ +0.20%—
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$161.25 $162.33▲ +0.67%▲ +0.20%—
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$161.25 $162.33▲ +0.67%▲ +0.20%—
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$154.31 $162.49▲ +5.30%▲ +6.49%—
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$154.73 $161.22▲ +4.20%▲ +5.56%—
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
424B5
MIXED ★ 6/10
$151.25 $156.18▲ +3.26%▲ +3.66%—
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$156.27 $149.75▼ −4.17%▼ −7.80%—
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 1m)

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Report published Jun 12, 2026