Insider Cluster (3 insiders) ·Filed Aug 24, 2026

ICE

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago
Insider cluster: 3 insiders, $0.7M total
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The CFO's sale is notable in timing but the dollar amount is immaterial for a $90.5B company. Monitor for any insider purchases or additional sales ahead of the MarketAxess deal close in H1 2027. The historical calibration shows past directional calls on ICE have underperformed by ~11% at T+20, suggesting caution against over-interpreting this cluster.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
ICE ▼ -6.17% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -6.17% · α vs SPY -6.19% · entry $162.99 → $152.93
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+26 -10.69% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 21, 04:00 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-0.74%
call -0.74% · α -1.06%
$161.78
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-1.41%
call -1.41% · α -1.87%
$160.70
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-6.17%
call -6.17% · α -6.19%
$152.93
settled 11d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Three ICE insiders, including CFO Warren Gardiner, sold a total of $667K in shares over a one-week window. This cluster follows a $6.2B debt offering and a new $2B term loan, both tied to the pending MarketAxess acquisition. While the dollar amount is trivial relative to ICE's $90.5B market cap (0.0007%), the CFO's sale and the proximity to major financing events warrant attention, though the historical calibration for this ticker shows past directional calls have underperformed significantly.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$667.0K
Insiders
3

Key Facts

  • CFO Warren Gardiner sold 2,491 shares for $389K on 2026-08-19
  • SVP Foley Douglas sold 1,600 shares for $256K on 2026-08-20
  • Director Martha Tirinnanzi sold 141 shares for $22K on 2026-08-13
  • Total insider sales of $667K represent ~0.0007% of ICE's $90.5B market cap
  • Sales occurred within 14 days of a $6.2B senior note offering and 4 days of a $2B term loan agreement for the MarketAxess acquisition

Financial Impact

Total insider sales of $667K, negligible relative to $90.5B market cap

insider holdings

Risk Factors

  • Insider sales could signal lack of confidence in the MarketAxess acquisition integration or near-term stock performance
  • The $6.2B debt raise and $2B term loan increase pro forma debt to ~$26B, adding financial risk

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (19 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-ICE-1787645300466
18 reports for ICE
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 3 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +3.13%Jul 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ICE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 3, 2026
29d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$164.59 $157.40▼ −4.37%▼ −3.22%$149.81 (−8.98%)
Aug 28, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$162.33 $161.26▼ −0.66%▼ −0.77%$149.81 (−7.71%)
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$162.99 $160.70▼ −1.41%▼ −1.87%$149.81 (−8.09%)
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$161.25 $162.33▲ +0.67%▲ +0.20%$149.81 (−7.09%)
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$161.25 $162.33▲ +0.67%▲ +0.20%$149.81 (−7.09%)
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$161.25 $162.33▲ +0.67%▲ +0.20%$149.81 (−7.09%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$154.31 $162.49▲ +5.30%▲ +6.49%$149.81 (−2.92%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$154.73 $161.22▲ +4.20%▲ +5.56%$149.81 (−3.18%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
424B5
MIXED ★ 6/10
$151.25 $156.18▲ +3.26%▲ +3.66%$149.81 (−0.95%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$156.27 $149.75▼ −4.17%▼ −7.80%$149.81 (−4.13%)
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

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Report published Aug 25, 2026