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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 14, 2026

HYFM

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonimmediate Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The forbearance deadline (Aug 31) and ongoing strategic alternatives process make this a binary event near-term. A distressed restructuring — debt-for-equity swap, asset sale, or Chapter 11 — appears increasingly probable. Traders should monitor for further lender negotiations or a going-concern warning in the next 8-K.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
HYFM ▼ -24.80% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +24.80% · α vs SPY +22.82% · entry $1.25 → $0.9400
Next anchor: T+60d in 14d
Latest observation: T+48 +43.69% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-6.40%
call +6.40% · α +5.72%
$1.17
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-27.21%
call +27.21% · α +26.02%
$0.9099
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-24.80%
call +24.80% · α +22.82%
$0.9400
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 14d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Hydrofarm's Q2 2026 net sales fell 40.9% YoY to $23.2M, the steepest decline in recent quarters, driven by continued industry oversupply and distributed brand discontinuations. While net loss improved to $10.6M from $16.9M a year ago (aided by lower SG&A), the company remains in a structural decline with no guidance provided, an active forbearance agreement expiring August 31, 2026, and a stockholder deficit of $89M. The July sale of Aurora Peat Products for $16M reduced debt but does not offset the core business erosion.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$2.23
Revenue
$23.2M
-40.9% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Free Cash Flow
-$9.0K
Gross Margin
11.3%

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 net sales of $23.2M declined 40.9% YoY ($39.2M)
  • Net loss narrowed to $10.6M ($2.23/diluted share) from $16.9M ($3.63) YoY
  • Adjusted EBITDA improved to -$1.7M from -$2.3M YoY
  • Operating cash flow near break-even $0.1M vs $1.7M YoY
  • Forbearance agreement on Term Loan extended to August 31, 2026
  • Term Loan principal $114.4M, classified as current debt with event of default
  • Stockholders' deficit of -$89M
  • July 2026 sale of Aurora Peat Products for $16M applied to reduce Term Loan debt
  • No financial guidance provided

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of 40.9% YoY ($39.2M to $23.2M); operating cash flow near zero; $114.4M term loan in default

revenuecash flowdebtnet loss

Risk Factors

  • Forbearance agreement expiring Aug 31 with unresolved default on $114.4M Term Loan
  • Continued revenue erosion with no recovery catalyst
  • Going-concern risk; stockholders' deficit of $89M
  • High probability of dilutive restructuring or liquidation

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Wholesale-Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (6 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3345602
8 reports for HYFM
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate @ T+5 5 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 6 best @ T+5▲ +27.21%Aug 14, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HYFM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 9, 2026
16d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.7050 $0.8010▼ −13.62%▼ −15.11%$0.8400 (−19.15%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.25 $0.9099▲ +27.21%▲ +26.02%$0.8400 (+32.80%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.25 $0.9099▲ +27.21%▲ +26.02%$0.8400 (+32.80%)
Jun 22, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.9202 $0.8101▲ +11.96%▲ +12.98%$0.8400 (+8.72%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.9710 $0.9600▼ −1.13%▲ +1.39%$0.8400 (−13.49%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.00 $0.9850▲ +1.50%▲ +3.12%$0.8400 (+16.00%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.00 $0.9850▲ +1.50%▲ +3.12%$0.8400 (+16.00%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.9850 $0.9010▲ +8.53%▲ +12.04%$0.8400 (+14.72%)
Showing 8 of 8

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Report published Aug 14, 2026