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8-K ·Filed Aug 14, 2026

HYFM

HYDROFARM HOLDINGS GROUP, INC.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC0001437749-26-028008
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The forbearance agreement expiration on August 31, 2026 is the immediate catalyst. If a restructuring, debt exchange, or equity raise is not announced by then, a bankruptcy or distressed exchange filing becomes likely. Traders should monitor for 8-Ks regarding the forbearance outcome or any strategic transaction. The post-quarter APP sale for $16M provides some breathing room but does not change the trajectory.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
HYFM ▼ -24.80% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +24.80% · α vs SPY +22.82% · entry $1.25 → $0.9400
Next anchor: T+60d in 13d
Latest observation: T+49 +42.28% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-6.40%
call +6.40% · α +5.72%
$1.17
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-27.21%
call +27.21% · α +26.02%
$0.9099
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-24.80%
call +24.80% · α +22.82%
$0.9400
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 13d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Hydrofarm's Q2 2026 net sales fell 40.9% YoY to $23.2M, the steepest decline in recent quarters, driven by continued industry oversupply and distributed brand discontinuations. While net loss improved to $10.6M from $16.9M a year ago (aided by lower SG&A), the company remains in a structural decline with no guidance provided, an active forbearance agreement expiring August 31, 2026, and a stockholder deficit of $89M. The July sale of Aurora Peat Products for $16M reduced debt but does not offset the core business erosion.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$2.23
Revenue
$23.2M
-40.9% YoY
Rating
miss
Free Cash Flow
-$9.0K
Gross Margin
11.3%

Key Facts

  • Net sales declined 40.9% YoY to $23.2 million (Q2 2026 vs Q2 2025), the largest percentage drop in recent quarters.
  • Gross profit margin improved to 11.3% from 7.1%, but only due to a higher proportion of proprietary brand sales; absolute gross profit fell to $2.6 million from $2.8 million.
  • Net loss narrowed to $10.6 million ($2.23 per share) from $16.9 million ($3.63 per share), primarily due to lower SG&A expense.
  • Adjusted EBITDA remained negative at ($1.7) million vs ($2.3) million a year ago.
  • Cash and restricted cash totaled $6.7 million at June 30, 2026, with a term loan principal of $114.4 million classified entirely as current debt following an event of default.
  • Forbearance Agreement extended through August 31, 2026; company in ongoing discussions with lenders.
  • On July 31, 2026, sold Aurora Peat Products ULC for $16 million total consideration ($5 million promissory note), proceeds applied to reduce term loan debt.

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of 40.9% YoY ($23.2M vs $39.2M); net loss of $10.6M; stockholders' deficit of $89M; $114.4M term loan in default with forbearance expiring Aug 31.

revenuenet_incomedebtliquidityequity

Risk Factors

  • Failure to extend or replace the forbearance agreement could trigger a debt acceleration or bankruptcy filing.
  • Continued industry oversupply and cannabis price compression are structural headwinds with no recovery in sight.
  • Stockholders' deficit of $89M and negative free cash flow indicate the company is consuming capital with no path to profitability.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Wholesale-Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (6 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-028008
Document: hyfm20260623_8k.htm0001437749-26-028008
Document: 0001437749-26-028008-index-headers.html0001437749-26-028008
Document: 0001437749-26-028008-index.html0001437749-26-028008
Document: 0001437749-26-028008.txt0001437749-26-028008
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001437749-26-028008
10 reports for HYFM
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate @ T+5 5 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 6 best @ T+5▲ +27.21%Aug 14, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HYFM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.9070awaiting T+5—$0.7900 (+12.90%)
Oct 27, 2026
today
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.9070awaiting T+5—$0.7900 (+12.90%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.7050 $0.8010▼ −13.62%▼ −15.11%$0.7900 (−12.06%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.25 $0.9099▲ +27.21%▲ +26.02%$0.7900 (+36.80%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.25 $0.9099▲ +27.21%▲ +26.02%$0.7900 (+36.80%)
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.9202 $0.8101▲ +11.96%▲ +12.98%$0.7900 (+14.15%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.9710 $0.9600▼ −1.13%▲ +1.39%$0.7900 (−18.64%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.00 $0.9850▲ +1.50%▲ +3.12%$0.7900 (+21.00%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.00 $0.9850▲ +1.50%▲ +3.12%$0.7900 (+21.00%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.9850 $0.9010▲ +8.53%▲ +12.04%$0.7900 (+19.80%)
Showing 10 of 10

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Report published Aug 14, 2026