8-K ·Filed Jul 21, 2026

HTGC

Hercules Capital, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001280784-26-000032
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The sequential NAV growth and robust origination activity signal continued portfolio expansion and credit performance. Traders should watch for the final Q2 2026 earnings release for full financials and any guidance updates, particularly regarding the trend in non-accruals and net investment income.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
HTGC ▲ +3.22% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +3.22% · α vs SPY +0.66% · entry $16.13 → $16.65
Next anchor: T+60d in 12d
Latest observation: T+50 +8.17% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 20, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-1.24%
call -1.24% · α -1.12%
$15.93
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-2.11%
call -2.11% · α -0.88%
$15.79
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+3.22%
call +3.22% · α +0.66%
$16.65
settled 6w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 12d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Hercules Capital issued preliminary Q2 2026 estimates, projecting NAV per share of $12.10-$12.20 (up 1.7%-2.5% from Q1), NII of $0.49-$0.51 per share, and ~$7.7M in net realized gains. Gross new commitments were ~$0.9B with fundings of ~$0.6B, while non-accruals increased slightly to <0.5% of the portfolio at cost. The sequential NAV growth and strong origination activity are positive, but the preliminary nature and slight uptick in non-accruals temper the outlook.

Key Facts

  • Preliminary Q2 2026 NAV per share estimated at $12.10-$12.20, up 1.7%-2.5% from $11.90 in Q1 2026.
  • Preliminary Q2 2026 NII estimated at $0.49-$0.51 per share, compared to $0.48 in Q1 2026.
  • Preliminary Q2 2026 net realized gains of approximately $7.7 million, versus a net realized loss of $0.6 million in Q1 2026.
  • Preliminary Q2 2026 gross new investment commitments of ~$0.9 billion and fundings of ~$0.6 billion.
  • Non-accrual investments estimated at <0.5% of total portfolio at cost as of June 30, 2026, up from 0.2% at March 31, 2026.
  • Total investments at fair value estimated at $4.5-$4.6 billion as of June 30, 2026.

Financial Impact

NAV per share increase of $0.20-$0.30 (1.7%-2.5%) from Q1 2026; NII per share range of $0.49-$0.51; net realized gains of ~$7.7M.

net asset valuenet investment incomenet realized gainsinvestment commitmentsnon-accrual rate

Risk Factors

  • Preliminary estimates are subject to change upon completion of financial closing and review procedures.
  • Non-accrual investments increased to <0.5% from 0.2%, indicating potential credit deterioration in a small portion of the portfolio.
  • Elevated early loan repayments ($225.8M in Q1 2026) could pressure future portfolio yield if not replaced with similarly high-yielding assets.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (15 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001280784-26-000032
Document: 0001280784-26-000032-index-headers.html0001280784-26-000032
Document: 0001280784-26-000032-index.html0001280784-26-000032
Document: 0001280784-26-000032.txt0001280784-26-000032
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001280784-26-000032
11 reports for HTGC
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 9 of 9 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +10.56%Feb 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HTGC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 21, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$16.13 $16.65▲ +3.22%▲ +0.66%$16.74 (+3.78%)
Mar 26, 2026
27w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$14.06 $15.51▲ +10.31%▼ −0.35%$16.74 (+19.06%)
Feb 27, 2026
31w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$14.21 $13.89▼ −2.25%▲ +5.30%$16.74 (+17.80%)
Feb 25, 2026
31w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$15.11 $14.18▼ −6.15%▼ −0.92%$16.74 (+10.79%)
Feb 25, 2026
31w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$15.11 $14.18▼ −6.15%▼ −0.92%$16.74 (+10.79%)
Feb 25, 2026
31w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$15.11 $14.18▼ −6.15%▼ −0.92%$16.74 (+10.79%)
Feb 23, 2026
31w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.62 $14.50▼ −0.82%▲ +3.13%$16.74 (+14.51%)
Feb 23, 2026
31w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.62 $14.50▼ −0.82%▲ +3.13%$16.74 (+14.51%)
Feb 23, 2026
31w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.62 $14.50▼ −0.82%▲ +3.13%$16.74 (+14.51%)
Feb 23, 2026
31w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.62 $14.50▼ −0.82%▲ +3.13%$16.74 (+14.51%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (38h 30m)

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