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S-4 ·Filed Sep 22, 2026

HOWL

Werewolf Therapeutics, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001140361-26-037334
Notable filing: S-4
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The merger is effectively an acquisition of Werewolf by Ambros via reverse merger, with Werewolf stockholders retaining only ~6.4% of the combined entity. The deal is contingent on stockholder approval of required proposals and Nasdaq listing approval. Watch for stockholder vote on proposals and any delays in Nasdaq listing confirmation. If the merger fails, Werewolf faces going-concern risk and potential dissolution.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
HOWL ▲ +4.10% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -4.10% · α vs SPY -3.42% · entry $0.9894 → $1.03
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Latest observation: T+22 +37.90% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.85%
call +0.85% · α +0.77%
$0.9810
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-6.78%
call +6.78% · α +6.11%
$0.9223
settled 28d ago
T+20d
+4.10%
call -4.10% · α -3.42%
$1.03
settled 7d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Werewolf Therapeutics (HOWL) filed an S-4 registration statement for its merger with Ambros Therapeutics, where Ambros will be the accounting acquirer in a reverse recapitalization. The merger values Ambros at $500M and Werewolf at $47.5M, with a concurrent $150M PIPE financing. Pre-merger Werewolf stockholders will own approximately 6.4% of the combined company, while Ambros holders will own ~72% and PIPE investors ~21.6%. Werewolf stockholders will receive CVRs tied to proceeds from legacy WTX-124/WTX-330 assets. The combined company will trade under AMBX, and the merger is expected to close in Q1 2027.

Key Facts

  • Merger values Ambros at $500M equity value and Werewolf at $47.5M equity value
  • Concurrent PIPE financing of $150M from investors
  • Pre-merger Werewolf holders will own ~6.4% of combined company; Ambros holders ~72%; PIPE investors ~21.6%
  • Werewolf stockholders to receive one CVR per share for legacy WTX-124/WTX-330 programs
  • Combined company to trade on Nasdaq under symbol AMBX
  • Werewolf has substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern
  • Werewolf had $22M cash as of June 30, 2026, with $485.3M accumulated deficit
  • Ambros lead candidate neridronate is in Phase 3 for CRPS-1; prior Phase 3 trials by Grnenthal were terminated early
  • Ambros had $103.2M cash as of June 30, 2026, with $60.8M accumulated deficit
  • Termination fee of $1.9M payable by Werewolf to Ambros if deal fails under certain conditions

Financial Impact

Werewolf pre-merger equity holders diluted to ~6.4% of combined company; $150M PIPE at $47.5M Werewolf valuation vs $500M Ambros valuation; Werewolf had $22M cash vs $485.3M accumulated deficit

dilutioncash runwayownership percentage

Risk Factors

  • Risk of merger failure: Werewolf's ability to continue as a going concern; termination fee of $1.9M payable by Werewolf if deal fails
  • Dilution risk: Werewolf holders own only ~6.4% post-merger; Ambros holders own ~72%
  • Regulatory risk: Ambros' neridronate Phase 3 trial failed Phase 3 trials; FDA may require additional trials needed
  • Nasdaq listing risk: Combined company must obtain listing approval; no assurance listing condition will be met

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 2 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-4 Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-037334
Document: ny20081588x1_ex10-40.htm0001140361-26-037334
25 reports for HOWL
Performance horizon
79% Hit rate @ T+5 11 of 14 directional calls Went positive at some point 12 of 14 best @ T+60▲ +51.32%Apr 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HOWL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
S-4/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
—awaiting T+5——
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
S-4
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.9894 $0.9223▲ +6.78%▲ +6.11%$0.9800 (+0.95%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.9800 $0.9300▼ −5.10%▼ −4.08%$0.9800 (+0.00%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.8740 $0.9433▲ +7.93%▲ +7.46%$0.9800 (+12.13%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.8740 $0.9433▲ +7.93%▲ +7.46%$0.9800 (+12.13%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.8740 $0.9433▼ −7.93%▼ −7.46%$0.9800 (−12.13%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$0.3531 $0.3971▲ +12.46%▲ +8.95%$0.9800 (+177.54%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$0.3531 $0.3971▲ +12.46%▲ +8.95%$0.9800 (+177.54%)
Jun 29, 2026
17w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.3599 $0.3200▲ +11.09%▲ +11.69%$0.9800 (−172.30%)
Jun 29, 2026
17w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.3599 $0.3200▲ +11.09%▲ +11.69%$0.9800 (−172.30%)
Showing 10 of 25

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (13h 19m)

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Report published Sep 22, 2026