Institutional Cluster

HMY

HARMONY GOLD MINING CO LTD
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 6 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The heavy selling by quant funds (RenTech, Bridgewater) and passive (Morgan Stanley) signals reduced conviction despite strong analyst ratings. Monitor for further institutional distribution and gold price trends. The buying by D.E. Shaw and Barclays is smaller and may represent short-term hedging rather than long-term bullishness.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
HMY ▲ +33.27% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -33.27% · α vs SPY -28.87% · entry $15.21 → $20.27
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 01:21 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+4.27%
call -4.27% · α -3.73%
$15.86
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+12.43%
call -12.43% · α -11.99%
$17.10
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-1.25%
call +1.25% · α +3.14%
$15.02
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+33.27%
call -33.27% · α -28.87%
$20.27
settled 24d ago

Executive Summary

Institutional cluster for HMY shows heavy net selling (-$16.1M) with 6 sellers vs 4 buyers, led by RenTech and Bridgewater near-exits and Morgan Stanley trimming, while D.E. Shaw and Barclays doubled smaller positions. The selling by quant and passive funds outweighs buying, suggesting diminishing institutional conviction despite bullish analyst consensus.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$20.6M
Sell Value
$70.7M
Net Flow
-$16.1M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$16.1M

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
D.E. ShawDOUBLED+372.5%$3.8M$3.2M
BarclaysDOUBLED+131.1%$5.1M$5.1M

▼ Sellers (6)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
RenTechNEAR_EXIT-82.1%$10.5M-$8.0M
BridgewaterNEAR_EXIT-90.9%$9.1M-$8.0M
Morgan StanleyTRIM-48.9%$30.6M-$10.3M

Key Facts

  • 6 institutional sellers reduced holdings by $30.99M, while 4 buyers added $14.9M, net -$16.1M
  • RenTech NEAR_EXIT from $10.5M to $2.4M (82% reduction)
  • Bridgewater NEAR_EXIT from $9.1M to $1.1M (91% reduction)
  • Morgan Stanley trimmed 49% of its position, from $30.6M to $20.3M
  • D.E. Shaw doubled its stake to $3.8M, and Barclays doubled to $5.1M
  • Analyst consensus is 82% bullish (2 Strong Buy, 7 Buy, 2 Hold)

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of $16.1M, with $30.99M sold vs $14.9M bought

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Continued institutional selling could pressure the stock
  • Gold price volatility may impact operations
  • 13F data is 45 days old; positions may have changed

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Gold and Silver Ores
Analyst Consensus
82% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-HMY-2025-Q3
11 reports for HMY
Performance horizon
20% Hit rate 1 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +23.14%Jun 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HMY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 15, 2026
17d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.54 $19.92▲ +1.94%▲ +1.13%—
Sep 8, 2026
24d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$20.23 $19.63▼ −2.97%▼ −2.30%—
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$21.03 $20.76▼ −1.28%▼ −1.55%—
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$21.03 $20.76▼ −1.28%▼ −1.55%—
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$23.54 $20.23▼ −14.06%▼ −14.54%—
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.28 $22.95▲ +19.04%▲ +19.24%—
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.03 $22.81▲ +13.88%▲ +15.07%—
Jul 20, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.33 $15.87▲ +10.75%▲ +11.17%—
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$15.21 $16.29▲ +7.10%▲ +6.50%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$15.21 $17.10▼ −12.43%▼ −11.99%—
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 25m)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026