6-K ·Filed Aug 27, 2026

HMY

HARMONY GOLD MINING CO LTD
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001628280-26-059195
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Harmony delivered a clean beat across all key financial metrics with record cash flow and dividends, while maintaining conservative leverage. The key swing factor is the gold price — the company's hedge book realized a R9.6B loss in FY26, but the unhedged portion more than offset this. With FY27 gold AISC guidance of R1,300,000-R1,395,000/kg and the current gold price well above the R1,850,000/kg planning assumption, margin expansion should continue. Monitor Eva Copper permitting progress (Northern Blue-tongued Skink issue) and CSA mine ramp-up toward 40ktpa by FY29 as the next catalysts.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
HMY ▼ -11.79% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -11.79% · α vs SPY -11.28% · entry $21.03 → $18.55
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Latest observation: T+22 -16.99% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 27, 08:45 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-3.80%
call -3.80% · α -3.58%
$20.23
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-1.28%
call -1.28% · α -1.55%
$20.76
settled 29d ago
T+20d
-11.79%
call -11.79% · α -11.28%
$18.55
settled 7d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Harmony Gold Mining Company reported record FY26 results with revenue up 34% to R99.2B, headline earnings per share up 87% to 4,363 SA cents, and record adjusted free cash flow of R17.1B. The company declared a record final dividend of 750 SA cents per share, bringing total FY26 dividends to R8.2B. Gold production declined 3% to 1.43Moz (in line with guidance), while the newly acquired CSA copper mine contributed 18,207 tonnes of copper production. The company guided FY27 gold production of 1.3-1.4Moz and copper production of 28,000-30,000 tonnes, with Eva Copper first production targeted for H2 2028. The balance sheet shifted to a net debt position of R852M from net cash of R11.1B in FY25 following the MAC Copper acquisition, but leverage remains very low at 0.02x net debt/EBITDA.

Key Facts

  • Group revenue increased 34% to R99,238 million (US$5,876 million) from R73,896 million
  • Headline earnings per share up 87% to 4,363 SA cents (258 US cents) from 2,337 SA cents
  • Record final dividend of 750 SA cents per share declared; total FY26 dividends of R8,151 million (US$503 million)
  • Record adjusted free cash flow up 54% to R17,148 million (US$1,015 million) from R11,142 million
  • Gold production of 44,464kg (1,429,551oz), down 3% year-on-year, in line with guidance
  • Copper production of 18,207 tonnes from CSA mine (8 months post-acquisition), towards upper end of guidance
  • Average gold price received up 35% to R2,069,710/kg (US$3,811/oz)
  • Net debt of R852 million (US$52 million) vs net cash of R11,148 million (US$628 million) in FY25; net debt/EBITDA of 0.02x
  • Gold AISC increased 13% to R1,191,698/kg (US$2,195/oz), in line with guidance
  • FY27 guidance: gold production 1.3-1.4Moz, copper production 28,000-30,000 tonnes, Eva Copper first production H2 2028
  • Gold Mineral Reserves increased to 27.4Moz from 26.9Moz; copper Mineral Reserves increased to 4.0Mt from 2.3Mt
  • Secured new US$500M, A$500M and R7B syndicated multi-currency funding package

Financial Impact

Revenue +34% to R99.2B, headline earnings +87% to R27.2B, adjusted free cash flow +54% to R17.1B, record total dividends of R8.2B

revenueepsfree cash flowdividendsnet debt

Risk Factors

  • Gold price decline would pressure margins given elevated AISC and hedge book losses
  • Eva Copper Project permitting delays from protected species discovery could delay first production beyond H2 2028 target
  • Moab Khotsong gold production declined 16% and is in a transitional 'gold gap' period
  • Net debt position of R852M vs prior net cash; increased leverage from MAC Copper acquisition
  • Realized gold hedge losses of R9.6B reduced reported revenue; ongoing hedging caps upside in rising price environment

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Gold and Silver Ores
Analyst Consensus
82% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-059195
Document: 0001628280-26-059195-index-headers.html0001628280-26-059195
Document: 0001628280-26-059195-index.html0001628280-26-059195
Document: 0001628280-26-059195.txt0001628280-26-059195
11 reports for HMY
Performance horizon
40% Hit rate 2 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +23.14%Jun 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HMY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 15, 2026
17d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.54 $19.92▲ +1.94%▲ +1.13%$17.33 (−11.28%)
Sep 8, 2026
24d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$20.23 $19.63▼ −2.97%▼ −2.30%$17.33 (−14.31%)
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$21.03 $20.76▼ −1.28%▼ −1.55%$17.33 (−17.57%)
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$21.03 $20.76▼ −1.28%▼ −1.55%$17.33 (−17.57%)
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$23.54 $20.23▼ −14.06%▼ −14.54%$17.33 (−26.36%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.28 $22.95▲ +19.04%▲ +19.24%$17.33 (−10.09%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.03 $22.81▲ +13.88%▲ +15.07%$17.33 (−13.45%)
Jul 20, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.33 $15.87▲ +10.75%▲ +11.17%$17.33 (+20.97%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$15.21 $16.29▲ +7.10%▲ +6.50%$17.33 (+13.97%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$15.21 $17.10▼ −12.43%▼ −11.99%$17.33 (−13.97%)
Showing 10 of 11

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