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8-K ·Filed Jun 4, 2026

HGV

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago SEC0001140361-26-023950
8-K Item 1.01 + 5.02 (likely routine officer/director compensation agreement)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Apollo's secondary sale signals potential overhang removal but also indicates a large insider reducing exposure. The concurrent $37.5M buyback partially offsets dilution but uses cash. Monitor for the full exercise of the greenshoe option and any subsequent insider filings. The stock may face near-term selling pressure from the secondary distribution.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
HGV ▼ -10.61% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +10.61% · α vs SPY +12.49% · entry $49.01 → $43.81
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.49%
call -1.49% · α -4.09%
$49.74
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+4.39%
call -4.39% · α -6.94%
$51.16
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+7.96%
call -7.96% · α -9.33%
$52.91
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-10.61%
call +10.61% · α +12.49%
$43.81
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Apollo Global Management affiliates are selling 5,000,000 shares of HGV common stock at $50.00 per share via an underwritten secondary offering, with an option for underwriters to purchase up to 750,000 additional shares. Concurrently, HGV will repurchase 750,000 shares from the underwriters at the same price, offsetting ~15% of the secondary dilution. The company receives no proceeds from the selling stockholders' sales.

Key Facts

  • Apollo affiliates (AP VIII Dakota Holdings Borrower, L.P. and AP Dakota Co-Invest, L.P.) are selling 5,000,000 shares of HGV common stock
  • Underwriters have a 30-day option to purchase up to 750,000 additional shares from the selling stockholders
  • Purchase price per share is $50.00
  • HGV will repurchase 750,000 shares from the underwriters at the same $50.00 per share price
  • The company will not receive any proceeds from the selling stockholders' share sales
  • Closing is expected on June 4, 2026
  • Underwriters include Wells Fargo Securities, Deutsche Bank Securities, Barclays Capital, and J.P. Morgan Securities
  • The offering is being made under an existing shelf registration statement (File No. 333-289538)

Financial Impact

Apollo selling ~5.0M shares (plus up to 0.75M option) at $50/share = up to $287.5M in gross proceeds to selling stockholders. HGV repurchasing 0.75M shares at $50/share = $37.5M cash outflow. Net dilution to public float: ~4.25M shares (5.0M sold - 0.75M repurchased) or roughly 4-5% of shares outstanding based on $4.0B market cap at ~$50/share implying ~80M shares outstanding.

dilutioncash_flowshare_count

Risk Factors

  • Secondary overhang from Apollo's 5.0M+ share sale could pressure stock near-term
  • Company using $37.5M for buyback reduces cash available for operations or debt reduction
  • Full greenshoe exercise would add another 750K shares to the float
  • Apollo's reduced stake may signal less committed support

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Hotels, Rooming Houses, Camps & Other Lodging Places
Analyst Consensus
50% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-023950
Document: ny20066382x3_8k.htm0001140361-26-023950
Document: 0001140361-26-023950-index-headers.html0001140361-26-023950
Document: 0001140361-26-023950-index.html0001140361-26-023950
Document: 0001140361-26-023950.txt0001140361-26-023950
10 reports for HGV
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +22.52%Jul 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HGV — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.56awaiting T+60—$35.73 (+3.39%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$46.32 $35.89▲ +22.52%▲ +24.98%$35.73 (+22.86%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$49.01 $43.81▲ +10.61%▲ +12.49%$35.73 (+27.10%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$52.02 $45.36▲ +12.80%▲ +13.99%$35.73 (+31.31%)
May 27, 2026
21w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$51.98 $45.11▼ −13.22%▼ −14.95%$35.73 (−31.26%)
May 27, 2026
21w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$51.38 $44.82▼ −12.77%▼ −14.65%$35.73 (−30.46%)
May 22, 2026
22w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$49.79 $45.32▼ −8.98%▼ −11.70%$35.73 (−28.24%)
May 8, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$46.04awaiting T+60—$35.73 (−22.39%)
Mar 17, 2026
31w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$41.29 $51.16▲ +23.90%▲ +12.38%$35.73 (−13.47%)
Feb 26, 2026
34w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$46.90 $48.97▲ +4.41%▼ −3.34%$35.73 (−23.82%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (17h 16m)

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Report published Jun 4, 2026