SecBot SecBot
8-K ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

HGV

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC0001674168-26-000098
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The miss on both EPS and revenue vs consensus, combined with unchanged guidance, suggests deceleration from Q1's strong beat. Traders should monitor contract sales trends and VPG for further weakness; the $48M impairment and elevated provision for loan losses ($122M) warrant attention. The stock may face near-term selling pressure.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
HGV ▼ -22.52% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +22.52% · α vs SPY +24.98% · entry $46.32 → $35.89
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.39%
call +0.39% · α +1.09%
$46.14
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+0.26%
call -0.26% · α +3.36%
$46.44
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-5.38%
call +5.38% · α +9.34%
$43.83
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-22.52%
call +22.52% · α +24.98%
$35.89
settled 4d ago

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

Hilton Grand Vacations reported Q2 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.89, missing consensus of $1.01 by 11.9%, and revenue of $1.358B, missing $1.40B by 3%. Full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance was reiterated at $1.225B-$1.265B, unchanged from prior guidance. The miss on both top and bottom lines, combined with flat guidance, signals slowing momentum after a strong Q1.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.89
est $1.01 · -11.9%
Revenue
$1.4B
est $1.4B · -3.0% · +7.3% YoY
Rating
miss
Free Cash Flow
$113.0M

Key Facts

  • Adjusted diluted EPS $0.89 vs consensus $1.01 (miss of 11.9%)
  • Revenue $1.358B vs consensus $1.40B (miss of 3%)
  • GAAP diluted EPS $0.15 vs $0.25 in Q2 2025, impacted by $48M loss on sale and impairment
  • Adjusted EBITDA attributable to stockholders $265M, up from $233M in Q2 2025
  • Contract sales $810M, down 2.9% YoY; tours +6.1%, VPG -8.6%
  • Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance reiterated at $1.225B-$1.265B
  • Free cash flow $113M vs $28M in prior year; net leverage 3.8x
  • Repurchased 3.1M shares for $150M in Q2, additional 488K shares for $25M in July

Financial Impact

Adjusted EPS miss of 11.9% and revenue miss of 3% vs consensus; guidance unchanged

epsrevenueguidance

Risk Factors

  • Continued decline in VPG and contract sales
  • Higher provision for loan losses ($122M in Q2 vs $95M in Q2 2025)
  • Net leverage at 3.8x with $4.9B corporate debt
  • Loss on sale and impairment of $48M may recur

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Hotels, Rooming Houses, Camps & Other Lodging Places
Analyst Consensus
50% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001674168-26-000098
Document: hgv-20260730.htm0001674168-26-000098
Document: 0001674168-26-000098-index-headers.html0001674168-26-000098
Document: 0001674168-26-000098-index.html0001674168-26-000098
Document: 0001674168-26-000098.txt0001674168-26-000098
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001674168-26-000098
10 reports for HGV
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +12.80%May 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HGV — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.56awaiting T+60—$35.44 (+2.53%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$46.32 $35.89▲ +22.52%▲ +24.98%$35.44 (+23.50%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$49.01 $43.81▲ +10.61%▲ +12.49%$35.44 (+27.70%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$52.02 $45.36▲ +12.80%▲ +13.99%$35.44 (+31.88%)
May 27, 2026
21w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$51.98 $45.11▼ −13.22%▼ −14.95%$35.44 (−31.83%)
May 27, 2026
21w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$51.38 $44.82▼ −12.77%▼ −14.65%$35.44 (−31.03%)
May 22, 2026
22w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$49.79 $45.32▼ −8.98%▼ −11.70%$35.44 (−28.83%)
May 8, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$46.04awaiting T+60—$35.44 (−23.03%)
Mar 17, 2026
31w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$41.29 $51.16▲ +23.90%▲ +12.38%$35.44 (−14.18%)
Feb 26, 2026
34w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$46.90 $48.97▲ +4.41%▼ −3.34%$35.44 (−24.45%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 4h 28m

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Jul 30, 2026