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Institutional Cluster

GUTS

FRACTYL HEALTH, INC.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The cluster is passive-driven and lacks active-manager participation, reducing signal quality. Monitor for Q4 2025 13F filings to see if the buying persists or if active funds (e.g., healthcare specialists) initiate positions. The small market cap ($116M) and analyst consensus (82% bullish) suggest the stock is well-covered with positive sentiment, but passive inflows alone are unlikely to be a near-term catalyst.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
GUTS ▼ -3.77% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -3.77% · α vs SPY -8.17% · entry $0.7239 → $0.6966
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 11:55 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+17.42%
call +17.42% · α +16.88%
$0.8500
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+17.42%
call +17.42% · α +16.99%
$0.8500
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+9.34%
call +9.34% · α +7.45%
$0.7915
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-3.77%
call -3.77% · α -8.17%
$0.6966
settled 7w ago

Executive Summary

Three mega-passive institutional investors (Vanguard, Morgan Stanley, UBS) significantly increased their GUTS positions in Q3 2025, adding a combined $2.8M in new holdings. While the buying is unanimous, it is entirely from passive/index funds likely reflecting index rebalancing or market-cap weighting adjustments rather than an active investment thesis. The cluster provides a modest positive signal but lacks conviction from active managers.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$4.9M
Net Flow
$2.8M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $2.8M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
VanguardADD+73.3%$3.1M$1.3M
Morgan StanleyDOUBLED+174.2%$684.0K$430.0K
UBSDOUBLED+3194.8%$1.2M$1.2M

Key Facts

  • 3 passive institutions added $2.8M in Q3 2025 (Vanguard +$1.3M, UBS +$1.2M, Morgan Stanley +$430K)
  • Zero institutional sellers in the detected cluster
  • All three buyers are mega-passive firms (Vanguard, Morgan Stanley, UBS), not active managers
  • GUTS market cap is $116M; the $4.9M in total holdings represents ~4.2% of the float

Financial Impact

$2.8M net institutional buying concentrated in Vanguard (+$1.3M), UBS (+$1.2M), and Morgan Stanley (+$430K) — all passive/index fund additions

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days old — positions may have already been reversed
  • All buying is from passive index funds, not active conviction managers
  • Passive inflows can reverse during index rebalancing, adding volatility
  • Stock is micro-cap ($116M), prone to large swings from small order flow

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus
Analyst Consensus
82% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-GUTS-2025-Q3
18 reports for GUTS
Performance horizon
43% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 7 best @ T+5▲ +4.81%May 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GUTS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$1.13awaiting T+5——
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.55 $1.08▼ −30.32%▼ −30.42%—
Oct 13, 2026
12d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.03 $1.33▼ −66.96%▼ −65.80%—
Aug 10, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.7018 $0.7171▲ +2.18%▲ +2.58%—
Aug 10, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.7018 $0.7171▲ +2.18%▲ +2.58%—
Jul 15, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.9100 $0.7580▼ −16.70%▼ −15.72%—
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$0.8500 $0.8583▲ +0.98%▲ +0.30%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.8500 $0.8583▲ +0.98%▲ +0.30%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.7239 $0.8500▲ +17.42%▲ +16.99%—
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.7340 $0.7240▼ −1.36%▲ +1.19%—
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

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Report published Jun 11, 2026