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8-K ·Filed Oct 16, 2026

GUTS

FRACTYL HEALTH, INC.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed10d 2h ago SEC0001193125-26-423377
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01, 8.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The positive pivotal readout de-risks the regulatory pathway and supports the De Novo submission timeline. Key catalysts to watch: FDA acceptance of the De Novo application (late Q4 2026), 12-month co-primary endpoint data (Q1 2027), and any FDA feedback on the complete safety dataset. Monitor for potential partnership or financing updates given the pre-commercial stage.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d
GUTS ▼ -30.32% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -30.32% · α vs SPY -30.42% · entry $1.55 → $1.08
Next anchor: T+20d in 18d
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 16, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-10.97%
call -10.97% · α -11.39%
$1.38
settled 7d ago
T+5d
-30.32%
call -30.32% · α -30.42%
$1.08
settled 3d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 18d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Fractyl Health reported positive topline six-month results from the REMAIN-1 pivotal study of its Revita DMR System for post-GLP-1 weight maintenance. The study met its first co-primary endpoint with high statistical significance (p=0.0023), showing Revita participants retained ~80% of GLP-1-induced weight loss vs 67% for sham. The company plans a De Novo FDA submission in late Q4 2026 and expects 12-month data in Q1 2027.

Key Facts

  • Six-month co-primary endpoint met: Revita participants maintained ~80% of GLP-1-induced weight loss vs 67% for sham (p=0.0023)
  • Least-squares mean weight regain: 5.1% for Revita vs 8.2% for sham (n=176 vs 74)
  • 32% of Revita participants were weight stable or had further weight loss vs 18% for sham (post hoc, nominal p=0.020)
  • Dose-dependent effect: participants with ≥20 cm ablation had 53% less regain than sham (mean regain 3.8% vs 8.2%; nominal p=0.003)
  • No device- or procedure-related serious adverse events, no deaths, no unanticipated adverse device effects
  • De Novo marketing application submission to FDA planned for late Q4 2026
  • Topline 12-month data and second co-primary endpoint expected Q1 2027
  • Category III CPT code 1122T for Revita procedure takes effect January 1, 2027
  • Potential U.S. commercial launch expected early 2028
  • FDA Breakthrough Device Designation for post-GLP-1 weight maintenance

Financial Impact

No revenue or financial data reported; company is pre-commercial. Filing states estimated price per procedure of $11,000-$33,000 and ~80% gross margin at scale, with cash breakeven projected within 5-8 quarters of launch.

revenuedilution

Risk Factors

  • FDA may not accept the De Novo application or may require additional clinical data
  • 12-month co-primary endpoint may not meet the pre-specified performance goal of >50%
  • Commercial adoption depends on reimbursement, physician training, and competition from GLP-1 drugs
  • Company is pre-revenue with no disclosed cash runway; may require additional financing

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-423377
Document: guts-ex99_2.htm0001193125-26-423377
Document: guts-ex99_1.htm0001193125-26-423377
Document: 0001193125-26-423377-index-headers.html0001193125-26-423377
Document: 0001193125-26-423377-index.html0001193125-26-423377
Document: 0001193125-26-423377.txt0001193125-26-423377
18 reports for GUTS
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 6 best @ T+5▲ +4.81%May 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GUTS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$1.13awaiting T+5—$1.08 (−4.42%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.55 $1.08▼ −30.32%▼ −30.42%$1.08 (−30.32%)
Oct 13, 2026
12d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.03 $1.33▼ −66.96%▼ −65.80%$1.08 (−73.17%)
Aug 10, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.7018 $0.7171▲ +2.18%▲ +2.58%$1.08 (+53.89%)
Aug 10, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.7018 $0.7171▲ +2.18%▲ +2.58%$1.08 (+53.89%)
Jul 15, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.9100 $0.7580▼ −16.70%▼ −15.72%$1.08 (+18.68%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$0.8500 $0.8583▲ +0.98%▲ +0.30%$1.08 (+27.06%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.8500 $0.8583▲ +0.98%▲ +0.30%$1.08 (+27.06%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.7239 $0.8500▲ +17.42%▲ +16.99%$1.08 (+49.19%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.7340 $0.7240▼ −1.36%▲ +1.19%$1.08 (+47.14%)
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

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Report published Oct 16, 2026