8-K ·Filed Aug 6, 2026

GPGI

GPGI, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed1mo ago SEC0001628280-26-053821
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The mixed Q2 results with a strong CompoSecure offset by a weak Husky are largely priced in after the Q1 guidance revision. The key catalyst is the second-half Husky recovery thesis — monitor monthly order/pipeline data and resin price trends for confirmation. The reiterated FY26 guidance provides a floor, but execution risk remains high given macro headwinds.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d
GPGI ▼ -13.75% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -13.75% · α vs SPY -14.96% · entry $14.98 → $12.92
Next anchor: T+20d due 29d ago
Latest observation: T+37 -13.38% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 6, 05:55 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+0.07%
call +0.07% · α -0.54%
$14.99
settled 8w ago
T+5d
-13.75%
call -13.75% · α -14.96%
$12.92
settled 7w ago
T+20d
—
call — · α —
—
due 29d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 28d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

GPGI reported Q2 2026 results in line with revised guidance, with record performance at CompoSecure (Adjusted Net Sales +11.7% YoY to $133.6M, Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA +13.6% to $55.2M) offset by continued weakness at Husky (Pro Forma Adjusted Net Sales -9.2% to $339.6M, Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA -22.6% to $64.9M) due to elevated oil/resin prices and tariff uncertainty. The company reiterated its full-year 2026 guidance for flat organic revenue growth and Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA up 7% at the midpoint, signaling confidence in a second-half recovery at Husky. A quarterly dividend of $0.0025 per share was declared, a trivial capital return event.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.17
est $0.13 · +30.8%
Revenue
$473.2M
est $431.0M · +9.8% · -4.1% YoY
Rating
in line
Guidance
$1,950M-$2,100M
maintained

Key Facts

  • Pro Forma Adjusted Net Sales of $473.2M, down 4.1% YoY from $493.7M
  • Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA of $113.9M, down 12.5% YoY from $130.2M
  • Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA margin of 24.1%, down 230 bps YoY
  • CompoSecure: Record Adjusted Net Sales of $133.6M, up 11.7% YoY; Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA of $55.2M, up 13.6% YoY; margin expanded ~70 bps to 41.3%
  • Husky: Pro Forma Adjusted Net Sales of $339.6M, down 9.2% YoY; Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA of $64.9M, down 22.6% YoY; margin contracted ~330 bps to 19.1%
  • GAAP Net Income of $50.3M vs. a GAAP Net Loss of $26.1M in Q2 2025
  • Adjusted diluted EPS of $0.17 vs. $0.25 in Q2 2025
  • FY26 guidance reiterated: Pro Forma Adjusted Net Sales $1.95B-$2.10B (flat YoY at midpoint), Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA $550M-$610M (+7% YoY at midpoint)
  • Quarterly cash dividend of $0.0025 per share declared, payable Sept 1, 2026
  • Net debt of $2.0B; LTM Net Debt / Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA of 3.9x

Financial Impact

Pro Forma Adjusted Net Sales declined $20.5M YoY (-4.1%); Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA declined $16.3M YoY (-12.5%)

revenueebitdamarginsdilution

Risk Factors

  • Husky demand recovery fails to materialize in 2H26 due to prolonged oil/resin price shock or tariff uncertainty
  • Further deterioration in Middle East conflict disrupting Husky's supply chain or customer demand
  • Inability to achieve planned cost savings at Husky, delaying margin expansion
  • Elevated leverage (3.9x LTM Net Debt / EBITDA) limits financial flexibility if downturn persists

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
75% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-053821
Document: gpgi_2q26earningspressre.htm0001628280-26-053821
Document: cmpo-20260806.htm0001628280-26-053821
Document: 0001628280-26-053821-index-headers.html0001628280-26-053821
Document: 0001628280-26-053821-index.html0001628280-26-053821
Document: 0001628280-26-053821.txt0001628280-26-053821
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-053821
15 reports for GPGI
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 6 of 9 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +16.45%May 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GPGI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 7, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$14.35 $13.19▲ +8.08%▲ +8.04%$12.90 (+10.10%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$14.98 $12.92▼ −13.75%▼ −14.96%$12.90 (−13.89%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.34 $15.22▼ −14.09%▼ −8.56%$12.90 (+3.30%)
Jul 15, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$14.91 $14.07▲ +5.63%▲ +3.96%$12.90 (+13.48%)
Jun 15, 2026
15w ago
Insider Buy
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.57 $14.34▼ −1.58%▼ −0.20%$12.90 (−11.46%)
Jun 12, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$12.80 $14.42▲ +12.66%▲ +11.98%$12.90 (+0.78%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.16 $14.12▲ +16.12%▲ +15.68%$12.90 (+6.09%)
Jun 5, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$11.89 $14.57▲ +22.54%▲ +20.43%$12.90 (+8.49%)
May 28, 2026
18w ago
DEFA14A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$12.16 $11.89▲ +2.22%▼ −0.30%$12.90 (−6.09%)
May 15, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$12.04 $12.60▲ +4.65%▲ +3.03%$12.90 (+7.14%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 8m)

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