SecBot SecBot
EFFECT ·Filed Apr 20, 2026

GOVX

GeoVax Labs, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed6mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001227
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Traders should monitor for imminent equity offerings, which are likely given the company's cash-intensive biotech profile and history of frequent dilutive financings. The market may price in dilution risk immediately, especially given the company's $4M market cap and pattern of capital raises.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
GOVX ▼ -13.68% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +13.68% · α vs SPY +20.45% · entry $1.17 → $1.01
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 20, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.56%
call +2.56% · α +1.91%
$1.14
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-5.13%
call +5.13% · α +6.04%
$1.11
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+88.89%
call -88.89% · α -84.69%
$2.21
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-13.68%
call +13.68% · α +20.45%
$1.01
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

GeoVax Labs has had five separate registration statements (S-3) become effective, allowing the company to raise capital through future offerings of up to $200 million in aggregate. This creates a potential dilution overhang for shareholders as the company can now sell common stock, prefunded warrants, or other securities at any time over the next three years.

Key Facts

  • Five S-3 registration statements (File Nos. 333-280040, 333-292127, 333-281973, 333-281972, 333-281310) became effective on April 17, 2026
  • Total aggregate offering capacity is $200 million across all shelf registrations
  • Securities may include common stock, prefunded warrants, or other equity-linked instruments
  • No specific offering size, price, or timing was disclosed in these filings
  • Company has a history of frequent capital raises via registered direct offerings and ATM programs

Financial Impact

Up to $200 million in potential dilution over time

dilutionequitymarket_cap

Risk Factors

  • Significant shareholder dilution from future offerings
  • Downward pressure on stock price due to overhang effect
  • Execution risk if offerings are priced at steep discounts

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 15 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (GOVX) — Batch item 19999999995-26-001227
Document: 9999999995-26-001227-index.html9999999995-26-001237
Document: 9999999995-26-001227.txt9999999995-26-001232
EFFECT Filing (GOVX) — Batch item 49999999995-26-001237
Document: 9999999995-26-001237-index.html9999999995-26-001230
Document: 9999999995-26-001237.txt9999999995-26-001227
EFFECT Filing (GOVX) — Batch item 79999999995-26-001232
Document: 9999999995-26-001232-index.html9999999995-26-001227
Document: 9999999995-26-001232.txt9999999995-26-001227
EFFECT Filing (GOVX) — Batch item 109999999995-26-001231
Document: 9999999995-26-001231-index.html9999999995-26-001227
Document: 9999999995-26-001231.txt9999999995-26-001227
EFFECT Filing (GOVX) — Batch item 139999999995-26-001230
Document: 9999999995-26-001230-index.html9999999995-26-001227
Document: 9999999995-26-001230.txt9999999995-26-001227
10 reports for GOVX
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 5 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +67.80%May 19, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GOVX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.2032awaiting T+60—$0.2010 (+1.08%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.3603awaiting T+60—$0.2010 (+44.21%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.79 $0.7210▲ +59.72%▲ +61.60%$0.2010 (+88.77%)
May 26, 2026
22w ago
S-1
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.49 $0.5947▼ −82.96%▼ −85.68%$0.2010 (−94.24%)
May 19, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$2.23 $0.7180▲ +67.80%▲ +72.81%$0.2010 (+90.99%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.23 $0.7700▲ +37.40%▲ +41.91%$0.2010 (+83.66%)
May 7, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.67 $0.7620▲ +54.37%▲ +59.21%$0.2010 (+87.96%)
Apr 22, 2026
27w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$1.17 $0.9742▼ −16.73%▼ −21.51%$0.2010 (−82.82%)
Apr 20, 2026
27w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.17 $1.01▲ +13.68%▲ +20.45%$0.2010 (+82.82%)
Apr 15, 2026
27w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.23 $1.11▲ +9.76%▲ +16.80%$0.2010 (+83.66%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 7h 30m

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Apr 20, 2026