425 ·Filed Jul 2, 2026

GME

GameStop Corp.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001193125-26-294482
Rule 425 M&A communications
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Cohen has now explicitly confirmed a hostile path — taking the proposal directly to eBay shareholders. The next catalyst is the July 7, 2026 GameStop annual meeting, where Cohen may use the platform to rally shareholder support. Monitor for a formal tender offer or proxy contest filing. The Polymarket implied probability of ~14-15% suggests the market sees this as a long shot, but Cohen's track record of defying low odds (Chewy vs. Amazon, GameStop turnaround) keeps the optionality alive. GME shares are likely to remain volatile on any deal-related headlines.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
GME ▲ +5.00% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +5.00% · α vs SPY +1.43% · entry $22.82 → $23.96
Entry anchored
Jul 2, 04:03 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.26%
call -0.26% · α -1.14%
$22.76
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-3.81%
call -3.81% · α -4.74%
$21.95
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-4.12%
call -4.12% · α -3.70%
$21.88
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
+5.00%
call +5.00% · α +1.43%
$23.96
settled 4d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen, in a July 1 YouTube interview with eBay sellers, reiterated his commitment to acquiring eBay at $125/share (half cash, half stock) and confirmed he will take the bid directly to shareholders if eBay's board remains unengaged, effectively escalating toward a hostile takeover. The filing provides no new financial terms or definitive agreement — it is a promotional communication reinforcing Cohen's operational vision and his willingness to go hostile.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Type
acquisition

Key Facts

  • GameStop's non-binding proposal to acquire eBay at $125/share (half cash, half stock) was delivered on May 3, 2026 and rejected by eBay's board.
  • Ryan Cohen confirmed he will take the bid directly to shareholders if eBay's board does not engage, effectively threatening a hostile takeover.
  • GameStop directly owns 4,343,725 eBay shares and has economic exposure to an additional 39,046,658 shares via put/call pairs (expiring Feb 2028).
  • The HSR Act Condition was satisfied on June 3, 2026, allowing physical settlement of the put/call pairs for common stock.
  • Cohen stated he will invest his own money at $125/share, take no salary, and run eBay himself if the deal closes.

Financial Impact

GameStop's non-binding proposal values eBay at $125/share, half cash and half GameStop stock. GameStop directly owns 4,343,725 eBay shares and has economic exposure to 39,046,658 more via put/call pairs. No definitive agreement or financing terms disclosed.

dealValuepricePerSharepremiumPct

Risk Factors

  • eBay's board has already rejected the $125/share proposal and may continue to refuse engagement, forcing a protracted hostile battle.
  • Financing for the cash portion of the deal is not detailed — GameStop's ability to fund a multi-billion dollar acquisition is unproven.
  • Regulatory risk: HSR waiting period satisfied, but antitrust review of a GameStop-eBay combination could be lengthy and uncertain.
  • Polymarket implied probability of ~14-15% suggests the market views deal completion as unlikely.
  • Historical calibration shows GME reports have a negative average T+20 alpha (-4.22%) and a 33% win rate, suggesting the stock tends to fade on event-driven headlines.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Retail-Computer & Computer Software Stores
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
425 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-294482
Document: 0001193125-26-294482-index-headers.html0001193125-26-294482
Document: 0001193125-26-294482-index.html0001193125-26-294482
Document: 0001193125-26-294482.txt0001193125-26-294482
28 reports for GME
Performance horizon
90% Hit rate 9 of 10 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +11.67%Sep 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GME — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 10, 2026
21d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$21.15 $22.64▲ +7.04%▲ +7.27%$24.70 (+16.78%)
Sep 9, 2026
22d ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$20.39 $22.77▲ +11.67%▲ +12.17%$24.70 (+21.14%)
Aug 31, 2026
4w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$18.38 $18.89▲ +2.77%▲ +2.92%$24.70 (+34.39%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$19.06 $18.79▲ +1.42%▲ +3.44%$24.70 (−29.59%)
Jul 20, 2026
10w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$21.76 $21.17▼ −2.71%▼ −2.29%$24.70 (+13.51%)
Jul 17, 2026
10w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$21.76 $21.17▼ −2.71%▼ −2.29%$24.70 (+13.51%)
Jul 14, 2026
11w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$22.43 $21.76▼ −2.99%▼ −1.69%$24.70 (+10.12%)
Jul 8, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$21.70 $22.43▲ +3.36%▲ +2.50%$24.70 (+13.82%)
Jul 7, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$22.20 $22.43▲ +1.04%▲ +0.48%$24.70 (+11.26%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$22.82 $21.95▼ −3.81%▼ −4.74%$24.70 (+8.24%)
Showing 10 of 28

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 7m)

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