Institutional Cluster

GGB

GERDAU S.A.
MIXED
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 2 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The divergence between aggressive buying by Causeway and near-exit by Citadel creates uncertainty. Monitor upcoming earnings and steel price trends for catalyst confirmation. If additional active managers follow Causeway, it could signal a buying opportunity.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
GGB ▲ +6.65% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +6.65% · α vs SPY +2.26% · entry $4.66 → $4.97
Entry anchored
Jun 10, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+1.93%
call +1.93% · α +1.39%
$4.75
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-3.65%
call -3.65% · α -4.08%
$4.49
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-5.36%
call -5.36% · α -7.26%
$4.41
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+6.65%
call +6.65% · α +2.26%
$4.97
settled 25d ago

Executive Summary

Institutional cluster in GGB (GERDAU S.A.) reveals divergent positioning: Causeway Capital doubled its stake (+169.2%, adding $14.5M) and other active managers added shares, while Citadel nearly exited (-84.7%, selling $32.1M). Net aggregate shows slight selling of $6.4M, but the buying conviction from active managers signals potential undervaluation.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$54.0M
Sell Value
$38.6M
Net Flow
-$6.4M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$6.4M

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Causeway CapitalDOUBLED+169.2%$22.3M$14.5M
Morgan StanleyADD+55.2%$20.7M$8.2M
D.E. ShawADD+30.5%$9.8M$2.7M
Point72ADD+52.3%$1.2M$448.0K

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
CitadelNEAR_EXIT-84.7%$38.4M-$32.1M
Wells FargoTRIM-49.8%$151.0K-$70.5K

Key Facts

  • Causeway Capital doubled its GGB position to 7.19M shares worth $22.3M, a $14.5M increase.
  • Citadel reduced holdings by 11.1M shares, exiting 84.7% of its position, removing $32.1M in value.
  • D.E. Shaw, Morgan Stanley, and Point72 added shares, collectively increasing holdings by $11.3M.
  • Wells Fargo trimmed marginally, selling $71K worth.
  • Net institutional activity was mixed: buyers added $25.8M, sellers reduced $32.2M, resulting in net selling of $6.4M.

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of approximately $6.4M (0.07% of market cap) but active managers added $25.8M vs passive/quant sellers reducing $32.2M.

institutional ownershipfloatsentiment

Risk Factors

  • Continued selling by Citadel could pressure shares in the near term.
  • Steel cycle headwinds or macroeconomic weakness could undermine the bullish thesis.
  • 13F disclosure lag (45 days) means positions may have already been adjusted.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling & Finishing Mills
Analyst Consensus
85% bullish (20 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-GGB-2025-Q3
16 reports for GGB
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 2 of 4 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +10.39%Jun 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GGB — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.74 $4.89▲ +3.16%▲ +5.16%—
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.83 $5.10▲ +5.59%▲ +7.49%—
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$5.14 $4.97▼ −3.31%▼ −2.71%—
Jul 21, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.64 $4.67▲ +0.65%▼ −1.92%—
Jun 15, 2026
15w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$4.62 $4.61▼ −0.22%▼ −0.42%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$4.66 $4.41▼ −5.36%▼ −7.26%—
Jun 3, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.71 $4.07▼ −13.59%▼ −12.22%—
May 28, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.50 $4.13▼ −8.22%▼ −6.43%—
May 22, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.75 $4.17▼ −12.16%▼ −10.75%—
May 5, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.80 $4.89▲ +1.88%▼ −3.08%—
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (37h)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026