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6-K ·Filed Apr 13, 2026

GFL

GFL Environmental Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonmonths Processed6mo ago SEC0001104659-26-042265
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The acquisition enhances GFL's scale in Western Canada and is immediately accretive to cash flow. Investors should monitor integration execution and synergy realization. The deal strengthens GFL's competitive position and could lead to broader index inclusion due to increased float.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final: all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
GFL ▲ +4.98% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +4.98% · α vs SPY -3.94% · entry $38.95 → $40.89
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.92%
call -0.92% · α -2.13%
$38.59
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+1.21%
call +1.21% · α -2.09%
$39.42
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-5.91%
call -5.91% · α -13.63%
$36.65
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
+4.98%
call +4.98% · α -3.94%
$40.89
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

GFL Environmental is acquiring SECURE Waste Infrastructure in a $6.4 billion all-share and cash deal, expanding its Western Canadian footprint. The transaction is expected to be immediately accretive to free cash flow per share by 12-15% and improve GFL's EBITDA margin to 31.6% on a pro forma basis.

Key Facts

  • GFL to acquire SECURE for $24.75 per share, representing a 23% premium
  • Enterprise value of $6.4 billion with 80% stock and 20% cash consideration
  • Deal expected to be immediately accretive to Adjusted Free Cash Flow per share by 12-15%
  • Pro forma Adjusted EBITDA margin expected to increase to 31.6%
  • Transaction fully financed with no financing conditions
  • Expected to close in second half of 2026, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals

Financial Impact

Enterprise value of $6.4 billion, increasing EBITDA margin to 31.6% and free cash flow conversion to 40.5-42.5%

revenueepsebitdafreeCashFlowleverage

Risk Factors

  • Regulatory and shareholder approval risks
  • Integration challenges and synergy realization
  • Potential dilution from stock consideration
  • Execution risk in achieving projected financial benefits

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Refuse Systems

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-042265
Document: tm2611664d1_6k.htm0001104659-26-042265
Document: 0001104659-26-042265-index-headers.html0001104659-26-042265
Document: 0001104659-26-042265-index.html0001104659-26-042265
Document: 0001104659-26-042265.txt0001104659-26-042265
19 reports for GFL
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +12.57%Jun 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GFL, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 8, 2026
20d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$42.31 $43.55▲ +2.92%▲ +3.20%$45.00 (+6.35%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$40.43 $42.33▲ +4.70%▲ +3.40%$45.00 (+11.30%)
Sep 29, 2026
29d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$42.20 $42.52▲ +0.76%▼ −1.19%$45.00 (+6.64%)
Sep 29, 2026
29d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$42.20 $42.52▲ +0.76%▼ −1.19%$45.00 (+6.64%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$41.79 $40.43▼ −3.25%▼ −2.84%$45.00 (+7.68%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$41.79awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$45.00 (+7.68%)
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$42.34 $42.20▼ −0.33%▲ +0.86%$45.00 (+6.28%)
Sep 1, 2026
8w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$41.50 $42.00▲ +1.20%▲ +1.12%$45.00 (+8.43%)
Jul 2, 2026
16w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$37.48 $40.10▲ +6.99%▲ +6.06%$45.00 (+20.06%)
Jun 30, 2026
17w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$36.79 $40.49▲ +10.06%▲ +9.45%$45.00 (+22.32%)
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed · Opens in 2h 52m

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Report published Apr 13, 2026