SecBot SecBot
PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Mar 5, 2026

GEVO

Gevo, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed7mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Traders should monitor progress on ATJ-30 project financing and construction start, as well as continued monetization of carbon credits and tax incentives, which are key to sustaining cash flow and EBITDA growth. The company’s ability to maintain positive operating cash flow in 2026 will be a critical signal of operational sustainability.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
GEVO ▼ -14.02% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -14.02% · α vs SPY -26.80% · entry $2.14 → $1.84
Entry = T+0 close
Mar 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+4.67%
call +4.67% · α +3.83%
$2.24
settled 8mo ago
T+5d
+11.21%
call +11.21% · α +12.74%
$2.38
settled 8mo ago
T+20d
+1.40%
call +1.40% · α +3.45%
$2.17
settled 7mo ago
T+60d
-14.02%
call -14.02% · α -26.80%
$1.84
settled 5mo ago

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

Gevo reported strong financial and operational performance for Q4 and full year 2025, highlighted by $45M in quarterly revenue, positive $20M operating cash flow, and $7.7M non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA — the third consecutive quarter of positive EBITDA. The company strengthened its balance sheet with $117M in cash, driven by tax credit sales and asset integration, while reaffirming its path toward sustainable cash flow and EBITDA growth in 2026.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$161.0M
+852.2% YoY
EPS
$-0.14

Key Facts

  • Generated $45M revenue in Q4 2025 and $161M for full year 2025, a significant increase from $16.9M in 2024.
  • Achieved positive $20M cash flow from operations in Q4 2025, a major improvement from prior negative trends.
  • Reported $7.7M non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA in Q4, marking third straight quarter of positive EBITDA.
  • Ended 2025 with $117M in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, up $9M from prior quarter.
  • Sold $52M in production tax credits in 2025, with $41M received in cash; expects remainder in Q1 2026.
  • Produced 69M gallons of low-carbon ethanol in 2025 (3% YoY increase) and 173,000 metric tons of carbon removal credits.
  • Successfully integrated Red Trail Energy acquisition (closed Jan 31, 2025), now operating as Gevo North Dakota.
  • Divested Luverne, MN ethanol assets, saving ~$3M annually in idling costs.
  • Reaffirmed target of ~$40M annual run-rate non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA.

Financial Impact

Revenue increased over 850% YoY to $161M in 2025 from $16.9M in 2024. Operating cash flow turned positive at $20M in Q4. Non-GAAP EBITDA improved to $16.4M for full year 2025 vs. -$57.8M in 2024.

revenuecashFlowebitdaoperatingMarginliquidity

Risk Factors

  • Heavy reliance on non-GAAP metrics and tax credit monetization for positive financial results.
  • Forward-looking statements about EBITDA and cash flow targets carry execution and financing risk.
  • Stock is thinly capitalized ($463M market cap), making it volatile to sentiment shifts.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3250643
18 reports for GEVO
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+1 4 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 6 best @ T+20▲ +27.56%Sep 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GEVO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1.14 $1.16▲ +1.75%▲ +2.28%$1.14 (−0.00%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$1.32 $1.31▼ −0.38%▼ −1.12%$1.14 (−13.31%)
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$1.56 $1.45▲ +7.05%▲ +6.33%$1.14 (+26.92%)
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.65 $1.68▲ +1.82%▲ +1.16%$1.14 (−30.91%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.57 $1.63▲ +3.82%▲ +4.14%$1.14 (−27.39%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$1.57 $1.63▼ −3.82%▼ −4.14%$1.14 (+27.39%)
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.59 $1.63▲ +2.52%▲ +3.51%$1.14 (−28.30%)
Jul 15, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.59 $1.59· 0.00%▲ +0.54%$1.14 (−28.30%)
May 29, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.84 $1.81▲ +1.63%▲ +1.78%$1.14 (+38.04%)
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$1.82 $1.85▲ +1.65%▲ +0.63%$1.14 (−37.36%)
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (11h 55m)

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Mar 5, 2026